Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 24·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.710.823.53safe1.74–3.670.00–1.681.70–5.35safer1.49–3.930.00–1.901.22–5.83
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.443.2310.67safe5.57–9.301.49–4.977.06–14.27safer5.08–9.791.02–5.446.11–15.23
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction19.759.3129.06safe15.83–23.685.75–12.8721.58–36.55safer14.74–24.774.79–13.8319.53–38.60
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction13.365.9119.27safe10.41–16.303.23–8.5913.64–24.89safer9.58–17.132.49–9.3312.08–26.46
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.562.798.35safe3.68–7.441.13–4.444.81–11.88safer3.14–7.990.64–4.933.78–12.92
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.593.1910.78safe5.38–9.811.19–5.196.57–15.00safer4.80–10.380.66–5.725.46–16.10
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction61.0840.00safe54.29–67.8733.22–46.79safer52.62–69.5431.55–48.46
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction6304111041safe563–698344–477908–1175safer545–716327–495872–1211
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction78.7270.19safe74.69–82.7565.87–74.52safer73.40–84.0464.56–75.83
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0610.5420.60safe7.22–12.897.60–13.4914.82–26.38safer6.46–13.656.85–14.2313.31–27.88
Offsides
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.903.78safe0.72–3.040.81–2.991.53–6.03safer0.42–3.340.52–3.280.94–6.62
Yellow cards
23%
23%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.071.762.84safe0.03–2.120.64–2.890.66–5.02safer0.00–2.390.34–3.180.10–5.57
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.344.536.87safe0.90–3.772.98–6.093.88–9.86safer0.51–4.162.55–6.513.06–10.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.71 1.74–3.67 1.49–3.93 | 0.82 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.90 | 3.53 1.70–5.35 1.22–5.83 | 77% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.44 5.57–9.30 5.08–9.79 | 3.23 1.49–4.97 1.02–5.44 | 10.67 7.06–14.27 6.11–15.23 | 88% |
| Total shots | 19.75 15.83–23.68 14.74–24.77 | 9.31 5.75–12.87 4.79–13.83 | 29.06 21.58–36.55 19.53–38.60 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 13.36 10.41–16.30 9.58–17.13 | 5.91 3.23–8.59 2.49–9.33 | 19.27 13.64–24.89 12.08–26.46 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 5.56 3.68–7.44 3.14–7.99 | 2.79 1.13–4.44 0.64–4.93 | 8.35 4.81–11.88 3.78–12.92 | 79% |
| Corners | 7.59 5.38–9.81 4.80–10.38 | 3.19 1.19–5.19 0.66–5.72 | 10.78 6.57–15.00 5.46–16.10 | 89% |
| Possession % | 61.08 54.29–67.87 52.62–69.54 | 40.00 33.22–46.79 31.55–48.46 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 630 563–698 545–716 | 411 344–477 327–495 | 1041 908–1175 872–1211 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.72 74.69–82.75 73.40–84.04 | 70.19 65.87–74.52 64.56–75.83 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 10.06 7.22–12.89 6.46–13.65 | 10.54 7.60–13.49 6.85–14.23 | 20.60 14.82–26.38 13.31–27.88 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.90 0.81–2.99 0.52–3.28 | 3.78 1.53–6.03 0.94–6.62 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.07 0.03–2.12 0.00–2.39 | 1.76 0.64–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 2.84 0.66–5.02 0.10–5.57 | 23% 23% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.90–3.77 0.51–4.16 | 4.53 2.98–6.09 2.55–6.51 | 6.87 3.88–9.86 3.06–10.67 | 15% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+