Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.152.68safe0.57–2.500.29–2.000.86–4.50safer0.32–2.750.06–2.230.38–4.98
Shots on target
52%
13%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.894.209.10safe3.03–6.762.46–5.955.49–12.70safer2.54–7.252.00–6.414.54–13.66
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9912.1226.12safe10.07–17.928.56–15.6918.63–33.60safer8.98–19.017.60–16.6416.58–35.65
Shots in box
62%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction9.297.5016.80safe6.35–12.244.82–10.1811.17–22.42safer5.52–13.074.08–10.929.60–23.99
Blocked shots
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.783.387.16safe1.90–5.671.73–5.033.63–10.70safer1.36–6.211.23–5.522.59–11.73
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.694.4310.12safe3.48–7.902.43–6.435.91–14.34safer2.90–8.481.90–6.964.80–15.44
Possession %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction46.3154.50safe39.52–53.1047.71–61.28safer37.85–54.7746.04–62.95
Passes
33%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction443497940safe376–510431–563806–1074safer358–529413–581771–1110
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction65.5774.50safe61.54–69.5970.18–78.83safer60.24–70.8968.87–80.14
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7511.2222.97safe8.91–14.588.28–14.1717.19–28.75safer8.15–15.347.53–14.9215.68–30.25
Offsides
51%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.273.11safe0.68–3.000.18–2.370.85–5.36safer0.37–3.300.00–2.650.26–5.95
Yellow cards
34%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.813.38safe0.52–2.620.68–2.941.20–5.56safer0.26–2.890.39–3.230.65–6.12
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.723.135.85safe1.29–4.161.57–4.692.86–8.85safer0.90–4.551.15–5.112.05–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 0.57–2.50 0.32–2.75 | 1.15 0.29–2.00 0.06–2.23 | 2.68 0.86–4.50 0.38–4.98 | 46% 25% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.89 3.03–6.76 2.54–7.25 | 4.20 2.46–5.95 2.00–6.41 | 9.10 5.49–12.70 4.54–13.66 | 52% 13% 35% |
| Total shots | 13.99 10.07–17.92 8.98–19.01 | 12.12 8.56–15.69 7.60–16.64 | 26.12 18.63–33.60 16.58–35.65 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 9.29 6.35–12.24 5.52–13.07 | 7.50 4.82–10.18 4.08–10.92 | 16.80 11.17–22.42 9.60–23.99 | 62% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 3.78 1.90–5.67 1.36–6.21 | 3.38 1.73–5.03 1.23–5.52 | 7.16 3.63–10.70 2.59–11.73 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.69 3.48–7.90 2.90–8.48 | 4.43 2.43–6.43 1.90–6.96 | 10.12 5.91–14.34 4.80–15.44 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 46.31 39.52–53.10 37.85–54.77 | 54.50 47.71–61.28 46.04–62.95 | — | 29% 66% |
| Passes | 443 376–510 358–529 | 497 431–563 413–581 | 940 806–1074 771–1110 | 33% 67% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.57 61.54–69.59 60.24–70.89 | 74.50 70.18–78.83 68.87–80.14 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.75 8.91–14.58 8.15–15.34 | 11.22 8.28–14.17 7.53–14.92 | 22.97 17.19–28.75 15.68–30.25 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.37–3.30 | 1.27 0.18–2.37 0.00–2.65 | 3.11 0.85–5.36 0.26–5.95 | 51% 23% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.38 1.20–5.56 0.65–6.12 | 34% 23% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.72 1.29–4.16 0.90–4.55 | 3.13 1.57–4.69 1.15–5.11 | 5.85 2.86–8.85 2.05–9.66 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+