Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.893.14safe0.28–2.221.03–2.741.32–4.96safer0.03–2.470.80–2.970.84–5.44
Shots on target
35%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.284.979.26safe2.42–6.153.23–6.725.65–12.86safer1.93–6.642.76–7.184.70–13.82
Total shots
44%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0513.3826.44safe9.13–16.989.82–16.9518.95–33.92safer8.04–18.078.86–17.9116.90–35.98
Shots in box
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction8.629.4418.06safe5.68–11.576.75–12.1212.44–23.68safer4.85–12.406.02–12.8510.87–25.25
Blocked shots
34%
14%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.734.438.16safe1.85–5.612.78–6.084.63–11.70safer1.31–6.162.29–6.583.59–12.73
Corners
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.944.979.91safe2.73–7.162.97–6.975.70–14.12safer2.16–7.732.43–7.504.59–15.23
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction41.0959.58safe34.30–47.8852.80–66.37safer32.63–49.5551.12–68.04
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction385540924safe317–452473–606790–1058safer299–470456–624755–1093
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction60.2074.17safe56.17–64.2369.84–78.49safer54.88–65.5368.53–79.80
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3210.8622.18safe8.48–14.157.92–13.8116.40–27.96safer7.72–14.917.17–14.5614.89–29.47
Offsides
21%
17%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.612.744.36safe0.45–2.771.65–3.842.10–6.61safer0.15–3.081.36–4.131.52–7.20
Yellow cards
45%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.793.84safe1.01–3.100.66–2.921.66–6.02safer0.74–3.370.37–3.211.11–6.58
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.080.19safe0.00–0.280.00–0.260.00–0.54safer0.00–0.430.00–0.400.00–0.82
GK saves
44%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.962.825.78safe1.52–4.401.26–4.372.78–8.77safer1.14–4.780.84–4.801.97–9.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.89 1.03–2.74 0.80–2.97 | 3.14 1.32–4.96 0.84–5.44 | 25% 22% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.28 2.42–6.15 1.93–6.64 | 4.97 3.23–6.72 2.76–7.18 | 9.26 5.65–12.86 4.70–13.82 | 35% 52% |
| Total shots | 13.05 9.13–16.98 8.04–18.07 | 13.38 9.82–16.95 8.86–17.91 | 26.44 18.95–33.92 16.90–35.98 | 44% 49% |
| Shots in box | 8.62 5.68–11.57 4.85–12.40 | 9.44 6.75–12.12 6.02–12.85 | 18.06 12.44–23.68 10.87–25.25 | 38% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 3.73 1.85–5.61 1.31–6.16 | 4.43 2.78–6.08 2.29–6.58 | 8.16 4.63–11.70 3.59–12.73 | 34% 14% 53% |
| Corners | 4.94 2.73–7.16 2.16–7.73 | 4.97 2.97–6.97 2.43–7.50 | 9.91 5.70–14.12 4.59–15.23 | 43% 44% |
| Possession % | 41.09 34.30–47.88 32.63–49.55 | 59.58 52.80–66.37 51.12–68.04 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 385 317–452 299–470 | 540 473–606 456–624 | 924 790–1058 755–1093 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.20 56.17–64.23 54.88–65.53 | 74.17 69.84–78.49 68.53–79.80 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 11.32 8.48–14.15 7.72–14.91 | 10.86 7.92–13.81 7.17–14.56 | 22.18 16.40–27.96 14.89–29.47 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.08 | 2.74 1.65–3.84 1.36–4.13 | 4.36 2.10–6.61 1.52–7.20 | 21% 17% 61% |
| Yellow cards | 2.06 1.01–3.10 0.74–3.37 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.84 1.66–6.02 1.11–6.58 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.96 1.52–4.40 1.14–4.78 | 2.82 1.26–4.37 0.84–4.80 | 5.78 2.78–8.77 1.97–9.58 | 44% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+