Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 24·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
27%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.352.50safe0.19–2.120.49–2.200.68–4.33safer0.00–2.380.27–2.430.20–4.81
Shots on target
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.954.037.99safe2.09–5.822.29–5.784.38–11.59safer1.60–6.311.83–6.243.43–12.55
Total shots
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0213.1027.11safe10.09–17.949.53–16.6619.63–34.60safer9.00–19.038.57–17.6217.57–36.65
Shots in box
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.848.4817.31safe5.89–11.785.80–11.1611.69–22.94safer5.06–12.615.06–11.9010.12–24.50
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.023.707.73safe2.14–5.902.05–5.364.19–11.26safer1.60–6.451.56–5.853.16–12.30
Corners
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.645.3610.00safe2.43–6.853.36–7.365.79–14.22safer1.85–7.432.83–7.894.68–15.32
Possession %
21%
76%
homeawayprediction43.5956.34safe36.80–50.3849.56–63.13safer35.13–52.0547.89–64.80
Passes
24%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction406490896safe338–473424–557762–1030safer320–491406–574727–1066
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction60.9872.10safe56.95–65.0067.78–76.43safer55.65–66.3066.47–77.74
Fouls
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6310.4323.06safe9.79–15.477.48–13.3717.27–28.84safer9.04–16.226.73–14.1215.77–30.34
Offsides
41%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.042.004.04safe0.88–3.200.91–3.091.79–6.30safer0.58–3.500.62–3.381.20–6.89
Yellow cards
50%
21%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.553.61safe1.01–3.110.42–2.681.43–5.79safer0.74–3.380.13–2.970.87–6.35
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.832.795.63safe1.40–4.271.24–4.352.63–8.62safer1.01–4.660.81–4.771.82–9.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.19–2.12 0.00–2.38 | 1.35 0.49–2.20 0.27–2.43 | 2.50 0.68–4.33 0.20–4.81 | 32% 27% 41% |
| Shots on target | 3.95 2.09–5.82 1.60–6.31 | 4.03 2.29–5.78 1.83–6.24 | 7.99 4.38–11.59 3.43–12.55 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Total shots | 14.02 10.09–17.94 9.00–19.03 | 13.10 9.53–16.66 8.57–17.62 | 27.11 19.63–34.60 17.57–36.65 | 53% 39% |
| Shots in box | 8.84 5.89–11.78 5.06–12.61 | 8.48 5.80–11.16 5.06–11.90 | 17.31 11.69–22.94 10.12–24.50 | 49% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 4.02 2.14–5.90 1.60–6.45 | 3.70 2.05–5.36 1.56–5.85 | 7.73 4.19–11.26 3.16–12.30 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 4.64 2.43–6.85 1.85–7.43 | 5.36 3.36–7.36 2.83–7.89 | 10.00 5.79–14.22 4.68–15.32 | 35% 53% |
| Possession % | 43.59 36.80–50.38 35.13–52.05 | 56.34 49.56–63.13 47.89–64.80 | — | 21% 76% |
| Passes | 406 338–473 320–491 | 490 424–557 406–574 | 896 762–1030 727–1066 | 24% 76% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.98 56.95–65.00 55.65–66.30 | 72.10 67.78–76.43 66.47–77.74 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 12.63 9.79–15.47 9.04–16.22 | 10.43 7.48–13.37 6.73–14.12 | 23.06 17.27–28.84 15.77–30.34 | 64% 29% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.50 | 2.00 0.91–3.09 0.62–3.38 | 4.04 1.79–6.30 1.20–6.89 | 41% 21% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.06 1.01–3.11 0.74–3.38 | 1.55 0.42–2.68 0.13–2.97 | 3.61 1.43–5.79 0.87–6.35 | 50% 21% 29% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.40–4.27 1.01–4.66 | 2.79 1.24–4.35 0.81–4.77 | 5.63 2.63–8.62 1.82–9.43 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+