Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 24·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
22%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.940.992.93safe0.97–2.910.14–1.851.11–4.76safer0.72–3.160.00–2.070.63–5.24
Shots on target
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.223.569.78safe4.36–8.081.82–5.306.18–13.39safer3.87–8.571.35–5.775.22–14.35
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction18.099.6927.77safe14.16–22.016.12–13.2520.29–35.26safer13.07–23.105.16–14.2118.24–37.31
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction11.646.8618.49safe8.69–14.584.17–9.5412.87–24.12safer7.87–15.413.44–10.2711.30–25.68
Blocked shots
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.952.897.85safe3.07–6.841.24–4.544.31–11.38safer2.53–7.380.75–5.043.27–12.42
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.144.0410.18safe3.92–8.352.04–6.045.96–14.39safer3.35–8.931.50–6.574.86–15.50
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.5345.32safe47.74–61.3238.54–52.11safer46.07–62.9936.86–53.78
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction512416927safe444–579349–482794–1061safer426–597332–500758–1097
Pass accuracy %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction67.3267.17safe63.29–71.3562.85–71.49safer61.99–72.6461.54–72.80
Fouls
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9810.4721.46safe8.15–13.827.53–13.4215.67–27.24safer7.39–14.586.78–14.1614.17–28.74
Offsides
47%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.433.23safe0.64–2.970.33–2.520.98–5.48safer0.34–3.270.04–2.810.39–6.07
Yellow cards
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.973.42safe0.40–2.500.84–3.091.24–5.59safer0.13–2.770.55–3.390.68–6.15
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.140.20safe0.00–0.220.00–0.330.00–0.54safer0.00–0.370.00–0.460.00–0.83
GK saves
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.354.326.67safe0.91–3.792.77–5.883.68–9.67safer0.53–4.172.34–6.302.87–10.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.94 0.97–2.91 0.72–3.16 | 0.99 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.07 | 2.93 1.11–4.76 0.63–5.24 | 60% 22% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.22 4.36–8.08 3.87–8.57 | 3.56 1.82–5.30 1.35–5.77 | 9.78 6.18–13.39 5.22–14.35 | 76% 15% |
| Total shots | 18.09 14.16–22.01 13.07–23.10 | 9.69 6.12–13.25 5.16–14.21 | 27.77 20.29–35.26 18.24–37.31 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.64 8.69–14.58 7.87–15.41 | 6.86 4.17–9.54 3.44–10.27 | 18.49 12.87–24.12 11.30–25.68 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.95 3.07–6.84 2.53–7.38 | 2.89 1.24–4.54 0.75–5.04 | 7.85 4.31–11.38 3.27–12.42 | 71% 18% |
| Corners | 6.14 3.92–8.35 3.35–8.93 | 4.04 2.04–6.04 1.50–6.57 | 10.18 5.96–14.39 4.86–15.50 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 54.53 47.74–61.32 46.07–62.99 | 45.32 38.54–52.11 36.86–53.78 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 512 444–579 426–597 | 416 349–482 332–500 | 927 794–1061 758–1097 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.32 63.29–71.35 61.99–72.64 | 67.17 62.85–71.49 61.54–72.80 | — | 48% 47% |
| Fouls | 10.98 8.15–13.82 7.39–14.58 | 10.47 7.53–13.42 6.78–14.16 | 21.46 15.67–27.24 14.17–28.74 | 50% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.64–2.97 0.34–3.27 | 1.43 0.33–2.52 0.04–2.81 | 3.23 0.98–5.48 0.39–6.07 | 47% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.40–2.50 0.13–2.77 | 1.97 0.84–3.09 0.55–3.39 | 3.42 1.24–5.59 0.68–6.15 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.35 0.91–3.79 0.53–4.17 | 4.32 2.77–5.88 2.34–6.30 | 6.67 3.68–9.67 2.87–10.48 | 16% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+