Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 24·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
20%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.073.18safe1.13–3.070.22–1.931.35–5.00safer0.88–3.320.00–2.160.87–5.48
Shots on target
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.144.2110.36safe4.28–8.012.47–5.966.75–13.96safer3.79–8.502.01–6.425.80–14.92
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction18.9211.1930.11safe14.99–22.847.63–14.7622.62–37.60safer13.90–23.946.67–15.7120.57–39.65
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction12.277.0919.37safe9.33–15.224.41–9.7713.74–24.99safer8.50–16.043.67–10.5112.18–26.56
Blocked shots
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.153.148.29safe3.27–7.031.48–4.794.75–11.82safer2.73–7.580.99–5.283.72–12.86
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.963.9310.89safe4.74–9.171.93–5.936.68–15.10safer4.17–9.741.40–6.475.57–16.21
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction57.8641.84safe51.07–64.6535.06–48.63safer49.40–66.3233.38–50.30
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction545384929safe477–612318–451795–1063safer459–630300–468760–1098
Pass accuracy %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction73.9669.20safe69.93–77.9964.88–73.52safer68.64–79.2963.57–74.83
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3112.2122.51safe7.47–13.149.26–15.1516.73–28.30safer6.71–13.908.51–15.9015.23–29.80
Offsides
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.643.35safe0.55–2.870.54–2.731.10–5.60safer0.25–3.180.25–3.020.51–6.19
Yellow cards
27%
23%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.853.14safe0.24–2.340.72–2.980.96–5.32safer0.00–2.610.43–3.270.40–5.87
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
27%
14%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.913.986.90safe1.48–4.352.43–5.543.90–9.89safer1.09–4.742.00–5.963.09–10.70
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.10 1.13–3.07 0.88–3.32 | 1.07 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 3.18 1.35–5.00 0.87–5.48 | 61% 20% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.14 4.28–8.01 3.79–8.50 | 4.21 2.47–5.96 2.01–6.42 | 10.36 6.75–13.96 5.80–14.92 | 67% 22% |
| Total shots | 18.92 14.99–22.84 13.90–23.94 | 11.19 7.63–14.76 6.67–15.71 | 30.11 22.62–37.60 20.57–39.65 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 12.27 9.33–15.22 8.50–16.04 | 7.09 4.41–9.77 3.67–10.51 | 19.37 13.74–24.99 12.18–26.56 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 5.15 3.27–7.03 2.73–7.58 | 3.14 1.48–4.79 0.99–5.28 | 8.29 4.75–11.82 3.72–12.86 | 70% 19% |
| Corners | 6.96 4.74–9.17 4.17–9.74 | 3.93 1.93–5.93 1.40–6.47 | 10.89 6.68–15.10 5.57–16.21 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 57.86 51.07–64.65 49.40–66.32 | 41.84 35.06–48.63 33.38–50.30 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 545 477–612 459–630 | 384 318–451 300–468 | 929 795–1063 760–1098 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.96 69.93–77.99 68.64–79.29 | 69.20 64.88–73.52 63.57–74.83 | — | 71% 25% |
| Fouls | 10.31 7.47–13.14 6.71–13.90 | 12.21 9.26–15.15 8.51–15.90 | 22.51 16.73–28.30 15.23–29.80 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.18 | 1.64 0.54–2.73 0.25–3.02 | 3.35 1.10–5.60 0.51–6.19 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.29 0.24–2.34 0.00–2.61 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.14 0.96–5.32 0.40–5.87 | 27% 23% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.74 | 3.98 2.43–5.54 2.00–5.96 | 6.90 3.90–9.89 3.09–10.70 | 27% 14% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.