Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 24·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
24%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.022.68safe0.69–2.630.16–1.870.85–4.50safer0.44–2.880.00–2.100.37–4.98
Shots on target
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.963.248.21safe3.10–6.831.50–4.994.60–11.81safer2.61–7.311.03–5.453.65–12.77
Total shots
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction14.219.9524.16safe10.29–18.146.38–13.5116.67–31.65safer9.20–19.235.43–14.4714.62–33.70
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction9.566.8216.38safe6.61–12.504.14–9.5010.76–22.00safer5.79–13.333.40–10.249.19–23.57
Blocked shots
65%
13%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.282.767.03safe2.39–6.161.10–4.413.50–10.57safer1.85–6.700.61–4.902.46–11.60
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.934.2910.22safe3.72–8.142.29–6.296.01–14.44safer3.14–8.721.76–6.834.90–15.54
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.2739.63safe52.48–66.0632.84–46.41safer50.81–67.7331.17–48.08
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction521338859safe454–588271–404725–992safer436–606254–422689–1028
Pass accuracy %
77%
20%
homeawayprediction69.1262.99safe65.09–73.1558.67–67.31safer63.80–74.4557.36–68.62
Fouls
22%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7014.1024.80safe7.86–13.5411.15–17.0419.02–30.58safer7.11–14.2910.41–17.7917.51–32.09
Offsides
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.863.50safe0.48–2.800.77–2.961.25–5.75safer0.18–3.100.48–3.240.66–6.34
Yellow cards
22%
19%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.392.353.74safe0.34–2.441.22–3.471.56–5.92safer0.08–2.710.93–3.771.00–6.48
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
25%
16%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.313.405.71safe0.88–3.751.84–4.962.72–8.70safer0.49–4.141.42–5.381.91–9.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.66 0.69–2.63 0.44–2.88 | 1.02 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.10 | 2.68 0.85–4.50 0.37–4.98 | 52% 24% 23% |
| Shots on target | 4.96 3.10–6.83 2.61–7.31 | 3.24 1.50–4.99 1.03–5.45 | 8.21 4.60–11.81 3.65–12.77 | 66% 22% |
| Total shots | 14.21 10.29–18.14 9.20–19.23 | 9.95 6.38–13.51 5.43–14.47 | 24.16 16.67–31.65 14.62–33.70 | 78% 16% |
| Shots in box | 9.56 6.61–12.50 5.79–13.33 | 6.82 4.14–9.50 3.40–10.24 | 16.38 10.76–22.00 9.19–23.57 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.28 2.39–6.16 1.85–6.70 | 2.76 1.10–4.41 0.61–4.90 | 7.03 3.50–10.57 2.46–11.60 | 65% 13% 22% |
| Corners | 5.93 3.72–8.14 3.14–8.72 | 4.29 2.29–6.29 1.76–6.83 | 10.22 6.01–14.44 4.90–15.54 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 59.27 52.48–66.06 50.81–67.73 | 39.63 32.84–46.41 31.17–48.08 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 521 454–588 436–606 | 338 271–404 254–422 | 859 725–992 689–1028 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.12 65.09–73.15 63.80–74.45 | 62.99 58.67–67.31 57.36–68.62 | — | 77% 20% |
| Fouls | 10.70 7.86–13.54 7.11–14.29 | 14.10 11.15–17.04 10.41–17.79 | 24.80 19.02–30.58 17.51–32.09 | 22% 72% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.86 0.77–2.96 0.48–3.24 | 3.50 1.25–5.75 0.66–6.34 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.34–2.44 0.08–2.71 | 2.35 1.22–3.47 0.93–3.77 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.00–6.48 | 22% 19% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.31 0.88–3.75 0.49–4.14 | 3.40 1.84–4.96 1.42–5.38 | 5.71 2.72–8.70 1.91–9.52 | 25% 16% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.