Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 25·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
20%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.120.903.02safe1.15–3.090.05–1.761.20–4.85safer0.90–3.340.00–1.980.72–5.33
Shots on target
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.043.189.22safe4.17–7.901.44–4.935.61–12.82safer3.68–8.390.97–5.394.66–13.78
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction17.689.7227.40safe13.76–21.606.16–13.2919.92–34.89safer12.66–22.705.20–14.2517.87–36.94
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction11.806.5418.34safe8.86–14.743.86–9.2212.71–23.96safer8.03–15.573.12–9.9611.15–25.53
Blocked shots
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.832.597.41safe2.95–6.710.93–4.243.88–10.95safer2.40–7.250.44–4.732.84–11.99
Corners
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.653.6510.30safe4.44–8.861.65–5.656.09–14.52safer3.86–9.441.12–6.194.98–15.63
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction58.0642.96safe51.27–64.8636.17–49.74safer49.60–66.5234.50–51.41
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction539393932safe472–606327–460798–1066safer453–624309–477763–1101
Pass accuracy %
67%
28%
homeawayprediction71.9568.01safe67.92–75.9863.68–72.33safer66.63–77.2762.38–73.64
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3711.4523.82safe9.53–15.208.50–14.3918.03–29.60safer8.77–15.967.76–15.1416.53–31.10
Offsides
22%
16%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.953.185.13safe0.79–3.112.09–4.282.88–7.39safer0.49–3.411.80–4.562.29–7.97
Yellow cards
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.823.54safe0.68–2.780.69–2.951.37–5.72safer0.41–3.040.40–3.240.81–6.28
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
19%
14%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.223.836.05safe0.78–3.652.27–5.383.05–9.04safer0.39–4.041.85–5.812.24–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.12 1.15–3.09 0.90–3.34 | 0.90 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.98 | 3.02 1.20–4.85 0.72–5.33 | 65% 20% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.04 4.17–7.90 3.68–8.39 | 3.18 1.44–4.93 0.97–5.39 | 9.22 5.61–12.82 4.66–13.78 | 78% 13% |
| Total shots | 17.68 13.76–21.60 12.66–22.70 | 9.72 6.16–13.29 5.20–14.25 | 27.40 19.92–34.89 17.87–36.94 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 11.80 8.86–14.74 8.03–15.57 | 6.54 3.86–9.22 3.12–9.96 | 18.34 12.71–23.96 11.15–25.53 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 4.83 2.95–6.71 2.40–7.25 | 2.59 0.93–4.24 0.44–4.73 | 7.41 3.88–10.95 2.84–11.99 | 74% 15% |
| Corners | 6.65 4.44–8.86 3.86–9.44 | 3.65 1.65–5.65 1.12–6.19 | 10.30 6.09–14.52 4.98–15.63 | 78% 13% |
| Possession % | 58.06 51.27–64.86 49.60–66.52 | 42.96 36.17–49.74 34.50–51.41 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 539 472–606 453–624 | 393 327–460 309–477 | 932 798–1066 763–1101 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.95 67.92–75.98 66.63–77.27 | 68.01 63.68–72.33 62.38–73.64 | — | 67% 28% |
| Fouls | 12.37 9.53–15.20 8.77–15.96 | 11.45 8.50–14.39 7.76–15.14 | 23.82 18.03–29.60 16.53–31.10 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.95 0.79–3.11 0.49–3.41 | 3.18 2.09–4.28 1.80–4.56 | 5.13 2.88–7.39 2.29–7.97 | 22% 16% 62% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.41–3.04 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.54 1.37–5.72 0.81–6.28 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.22 0.78–3.65 0.39–4.04 | 3.83 2.27–5.38 1.85–5.81 | 6.05 3.05–9.04 2.24–9.85 | 19% 14% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.