Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 25·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
26%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.082.57safe0.52–2.460.23–1.940.75–4.39safer0.27–2.710.00–2.170.27–4.87
Shots on target
57%
13%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.733.728.45safe2.87–6.601.98–5.464.85–12.06safer2.38–7.091.51–5.933.89–13.01
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6012.5627.16safe10.67–18.529.00–16.1319.67–34.65safer9.58–19.618.04–17.0917.62–36.70
Shots in box
58%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction9.117.8216.93safe6.17–12.065.13–10.5011.31–22.55safer5.34–12.894.40–11.239.74–24.12
Blocked shots
51%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.103.487.58safe2.22–5.981.83–5.144.05–11.12safer1.67–6.521.34–5.633.01–12.15
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.674.5710.25safe3.46–7.892.57–6.576.04–14.46safer2.89–8.462.04–7.114.93–15.57
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.8044.83safe49.01–62.5938.05–51.62safer47.34–64.2636.38–53.29
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction483382864safe415–550315–448731–998safer397–568298–466695–1034
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction65.1866.64safe61.15–69.2162.32–70.97safer59.85–70.5061.01–72.28
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7811.8223.60safe8.94–14.628.87–14.7617.82–29.38safer8.19–15.388.12–15.5116.31–30.88
Offsides
42%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.813.76safe0.79–3.110.72–2.901.51–6.01safer0.49–3.410.43–3.190.92–6.60
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.963.70safe0.69–2.790.83–3.091.52–5.88safer0.43–3.060.54–3.380.97–6.44
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
34%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.643.095.73safe1.21–4.081.53–4.652.74–8.72safer0.82–4.471.11–5.071.93–9.54
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.52–2.46 0.27–2.71 | 1.08 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.17 | 2.57 0.75–4.39 0.27–4.87 | 46% 26% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.73 2.87–6.60 2.38–7.09 | 3.72 1.98–5.46 1.51–5.93 | 8.45 4.85–12.06 3.89–13.01 | 57% 13% 30% |
| Total shots | 14.60 10.67–18.52 9.58–19.61 | 12.56 9.00–16.13 8.04–17.09 | 27.16 19.67–34.65 17.62–36.70 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 9.11 6.17–12.06 5.34–12.89 | 7.82 5.13–10.50 4.40–11.23 | 16.93 11.31–22.55 9.74–24.12 | 58% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 4.10 2.22–5.98 1.67–6.52 | 3.48 1.83–5.14 1.34–5.63 | 7.58 4.05–11.12 3.01–12.15 | 51% 14% 34% |
| Corners | 5.67 3.46–7.89 2.89–8.46 | 4.57 2.57–6.57 2.04–7.11 | 10.25 6.04–14.46 4.93–15.57 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 55.80 49.01–62.59 47.34–64.26 | 44.83 38.05–51.62 36.38–53.29 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 483 415–550 397–568 | 382 315–448 298–466 | 864 731–998 695–1034 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.18 61.15–69.21 59.85–70.50 | 66.64 62.32–70.97 61.01–72.28 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 11.78 8.94–14.62 8.19–15.38 | 11.82 8.87–14.76 8.12–15.51 | 23.60 17.82–29.38 16.31–30.88 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.95 0.79–3.11 0.49–3.41 | 1.81 0.72–2.90 0.43–3.19 | 3.76 1.51–6.01 0.92–6.60 | 42% 21% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.43–3.06 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.70 1.52–5.88 0.97–6.44 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.64 1.21–4.08 0.82–4.47 | 3.09 1.53–4.65 1.11–5.07 | 5.73 2.74–8.72 1.93–9.54 | 34% 17% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+