Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 25·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.783.16safe0.42–2.360.92–2.631.34–4.99safer0.17–2.610.69–2.860.86–5.47
Shots on target
36%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.725.3510.07safe2.86–6.583.60–7.096.46–13.67safer2.37–7.073.14–7.555.51–14.63
Total shots
48%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0314.8329.86safe11.10–18.9511.27–18.4022.37–37.35safer10.01–20.0410.31–19.3620.32–39.40
Shots in box
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5610.3419.90safe6.62–12.507.66–13.0214.28–25.52safer5.79–13.336.92–13.7612.71–27.09
Blocked shots
41%
13%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.494.669.15safe2.61–6.373.01–6.325.62–12.69safer2.07–6.922.52–6.814.58–13.73
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.935.3610.30safe2.72–7.153.36–7.366.08–14.51safer2.15–7.722.83–7.904.98–15.62
Possession %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction46.9054.18safe40.11–53.6947.40–60.97safer38.44–55.3645.73–62.64
Passes
27%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction430504934safe363–497438–571801–1068safer345–515420–588765–1104
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction69.9178.15safe65.88–73.9473.83–82.48safer64.59–75.2472.52–83.78
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6612.1722.84safe7.83–13.509.23–15.1217.06–28.62safer7.07–14.268.48–15.8715.55–30.12
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.783.59safe0.65–2.970.69–2.871.33–5.84safer0.35–3.270.40–3.160.74–6.43
Yellow cards
34%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.763.28safe0.47–2.570.63–2.881.10–5.45safer0.20–2.840.34–3.180.54–6.01
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.472.906.37safe2.04–4.911.34–4.453.37–9.36safer1.65–5.300.92–4.882.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.42–2.36 0.17–2.61 | 1.78 0.92–2.63 0.69–2.86 | 3.16 1.34–4.99 0.86–5.47 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.72 2.86–6.58 2.37–7.07 | 5.35 3.60–7.09 3.14–7.55 | 10.07 6.46–13.67 5.51–14.63 | 36% 51% |
| Total shots | 15.03 11.10–18.95 10.01–20.04 | 14.83 11.27–18.40 10.31–19.36 | 29.86 22.37–37.35 20.32–39.40 | 48% 45% |
| Shots in box | 9.56 6.62–12.50 5.79–13.33 | 10.34 7.66–13.02 6.92–13.76 | 19.90 14.28–25.52 12.71–27.09 | 39% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 4.49 2.61–6.37 2.07–6.92 | 4.66 3.01–6.32 2.52–6.81 | 9.15 5.62–12.69 4.58–13.73 | 41% 13% 46% |
| Corners | 4.93 2.72–7.15 2.15–7.72 | 5.36 3.36–7.36 2.83–7.90 | 10.30 6.08–14.51 4.98–15.62 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 46.90 40.11–53.69 38.44–55.36 | 54.18 47.40–60.97 45.73–62.64 | — | 31% 64% |
| Passes | 430 363–497 345–515 | 504 438–571 420–588 | 934 801–1068 765–1104 | 27% 73% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.91 65.88–73.94 64.59–75.24 | 78.15 73.83–82.48 72.52–83.78 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 10.66 7.83–13.50 7.07–14.26 | 12.17 9.23–15.12 8.48–15.87 | 22.84 17.06–28.62 15.55–30.12 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.78 0.69–2.87 0.40–3.16 | 3.59 1.33–5.84 0.74–6.43 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.20–2.84 | 1.76 0.63–2.88 0.34–3.18 | 3.28 1.10–5.45 0.54–6.01 | 34% 23% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.47 2.04–4.91 1.65–5.30 | 2.90 1.34–4.45 0.92–4.88 | 6.37 3.37–9.36 2.56–10.17 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.