Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 25·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.162.76safe0.63–2.570.31–2.020.94–4.58safer0.38–2.820.08–2.250.46–5.06
Shots on target
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.304.449.74safe3.44–7.162.70–6.196.14–13.35safer2.95–7.652.23–6.655.18–14.30
Total shots
66%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1812.5627.74safe11.25–19.109.00–16.1220.25–35.23safer10.16–20.208.04–17.0818.20–37.28
Shots in box
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction9.968.5318.49safe7.02–12.915.85–11.2112.87–24.11safer6.19–13.745.11–11.9411.30–25.68
Blocked shots
47%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.193.868.05safe2.31–6.072.21–5.524.52–11.59safer1.76–6.611.72–6.013.48–12.62
Corners
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.264.7610.02safe3.05–7.472.76–6.765.81–14.23safer2.47–8.052.23–7.294.70–15.34
Possession %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction52.6648.11safe45.87–59.4541.32–54.89safer44.20–61.1239.65–56.56
Passes
72%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction525455980safe457–592388–521846–1113safer439–610371–539810–1149
Pass accuracy %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction71.4274.46safe67.39–75.4570.14–78.79safer66.10–76.7468.83–80.10
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3310.6420.97safe7.50–13.177.69–13.5815.19–26.75safer6.74–13.936.95–14.3313.68–28.26
Offsides
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.553.44safe0.72–3.040.46–2.651.18–5.69safer0.42–3.340.17–2.940.59–6.28
Yellow cards
29%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.873.28safe0.36–2.460.74–3.001.10–5.46safer0.09–2.720.45–3.290.54–6.02
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
37%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.033.396.43safe1.60–4.471.84–4.953.43–9.42safer1.21–4.861.41–5.372.62–10.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.60 0.63–2.57 0.38–2.82 | 1.16 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.25 | 2.76 0.94–4.58 0.46–5.06 | 47% 25% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.30 3.44–7.16 2.95–7.65 | 4.44 2.70–6.19 2.23–6.65 | 9.74 6.14–13.35 5.18–14.30 | 54% 33% |
| Total shots | 15.18 11.25–19.10 10.16–20.20 | 12.56 9.00–16.12 8.04–17.08 | 27.74 20.25–35.23 18.20–37.28 | 66% 28% |
| Shots in box | 9.96 7.02–12.91 6.19–13.74 | 8.53 5.85–11.21 5.11–11.94 | 18.49 12.87–24.11 11.30–25.68 | 59% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 4.19 2.31–6.07 1.76–6.61 | 3.86 2.21–5.52 1.72–6.01 | 8.05 4.52–11.59 3.48–12.62 | 47% 14% 38% |
| Corners | 5.26 3.05–7.47 2.47–8.05 | 4.76 2.76–6.76 2.23–7.29 | 10.02 5.81–14.23 4.70–15.34 | 50% 37% |
| Possession % | 52.66 45.87–59.45 44.20–61.12 | 48.11 41.32–54.89 39.65–56.56 | — | 58% 37% |
| Passes | 525 457–592 439–610 | 455 388–521 371–539 | 980 846–1113 810–1149 | 72% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.42 67.39–75.45 66.10–76.74 | 74.46 70.14–78.79 68.83–80.10 | — | 32% 63% |
| Fouls | 10.33 7.50–13.17 6.74–13.93 | 10.64 7.69–13.58 6.95–14.33 | 20.97 15.19–26.75 13.68–28.26 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.55 0.46–2.65 0.17–2.94 | 3.44 1.18–5.69 0.59–6.28 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.36–2.46 0.09–2.72 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.28 1.10–5.46 0.54–6.02 | 29% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.03 1.60–4.47 1.21–4.86 | 3.39 1.84–4.95 1.41–5.37 | 6.43 3.43–9.42 2.62–10.23 | 37% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.