Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
26%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.482.72safe0.27–2.210.62–2.330.90–4.54safer0.02–2.460.39–2.560.42–5.02
Shots on target
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.074.468.53safe2.20–5.932.72–6.204.92–12.13safer1.71–6.422.25–6.673.97–13.09
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9513.1226.07safe9.03–16.889.55–16.6818.58–33.55safer7.93–17.978.59–17.6416.53–35.61
Shots in box
38%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction7.988.7016.68safe5.04–10.936.02–11.3811.06–22.30safer4.21–11.765.28–12.129.49–23.87
Blocked shots
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.253.316.56safe1.37–5.131.65–4.963.02–10.09safer0.83–5.681.16–5.451.99–11.13
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.175.1410.31safe2.96–7.383.14–7.146.09–14.52safer2.38–7.962.60–7.674.98–15.63
Possession %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction51.1850.11safe44.39–57.9743.32–56.89safer42.72–59.6441.65–58.57
Passes
63%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction448408857safe381–516342–475723–990safer363–534324–492687–1026
Pass accuracy %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction61.3166.00safe57.28–65.3461.67–70.32safer55.99–66.6460.36–71.63
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0513.1526.20safe10.21–15.8810.21–16.1020.42–31.98safer9.45–16.649.46–16.8518.92–33.49
Offsides
62%
17%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.881.694.56safe1.72–4.040.59–2.782.31–6.82safer1.42–4.340.31–3.071.72–7.41
Yellow cards
40%
19%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.272.324.59safe1.22–3.321.19–3.452.41–6.77safer0.96–3.590.90–3.741.86–7.33
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.130.24safe0.00–0.270.00–0.310.00–0.59safer0.00–0.420.00–0.450.00–0.87
GK saves
45%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.992.775.76safe1.56–4.431.22–4.332.77–8.76safer1.17–4.820.79–4.751.96–9.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.21 0.02–2.46 | 1.48 0.62–2.33 0.39–2.56 | 2.72 0.90–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 32% 26% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.07 2.20–5.93 1.71–6.42 | 4.46 2.72–6.20 2.25–6.67 | 8.53 4.92–12.13 3.97–13.09 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Total shots | 12.95 9.03–16.88 7.93–17.97 | 13.12 9.55–16.68 8.59–17.64 | 26.07 18.58–33.55 16.53–35.61 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 7.98 5.04–10.93 4.21–11.76 | 8.70 6.02–11.38 5.28–12.12 | 16.68 11.06–22.30 9.49–23.87 | 38% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.25 1.37–5.13 0.83–5.68 | 3.31 1.65–4.96 1.16–5.45 | 6.56 3.02–10.09 1.99–11.13 | 41% 16% 43% |
| Corners | 5.17 2.96–7.38 2.38–7.96 | 5.14 3.14–7.14 2.60–7.67 | 10.31 6.09–14.52 4.98–15.63 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 51.18 44.39–57.97 42.72–59.64 | 50.11 43.32–56.89 41.65–58.57 | — | 50% 45% |
| Passes | 448 381–516 363–534 | 408 342–475 324–492 | 857 723–990 687–1026 | 63% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.31 57.28–65.34 55.99–66.64 | 66.00 61.67–70.32 60.36–71.63 | — | 25% 71% |
| Fouls | 13.05 10.21–15.88 9.45–16.64 | 13.15 10.21–16.10 9.46–16.85 | 26.20 20.42–31.98 18.92–33.49 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 2.88 1.72–4.04 1.42–4.34 | 1.69 0.59–2.78 0.31–3.07 | 4.56 2.31–6.82 1.72–7.41 | 62% 17% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 2.27 1.22–3.32 0.96–3.59 | 2.32 1.19–3.45 0.90–3.74 | 4.59 2.41–6.77 1.86–7.33 | 40% 19% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.99 1.56–4.43 1.17–4.82 | 2.77 1.22–4.33 0.79–4.75 | 5.76 2.77–8.76 1.96–9.57 | 45% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.