Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 25·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
25%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.172.73safe0.59–2.520.32–2.030.91–4.55safer0.33–2.770.09–2.260.43–5.03
Shots on target
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.843.788.61safe2.97–6.702.03–5.525.01–12.22safer2.48–7.191.57–5.984.05–13.17
Total shots
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2811.1025.37safe10.35–18.207.54–14.6617.89–32.86safer9.26–19.296.58–15.6215.84–34.91
Shots in box
60%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction9.407.8517.26safe6.46–12.345.17–10.5311.63–22.88safer5.63–13.174.44–11.2710.07–24.45
Blocked shots
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.103.337.42safe2.21–5.981.67–4.983.89–10.96safer1.67–6.521.18–5.472.85–11.99
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.914.2510.16safe3.69–8.122.25–6.255.94–14.37safer3.12–8.691.72–6.784.84–15.48
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.4744.68safe48.68–62.2637.89–51.46safer47.01–63.9336.22–53.13
Passes
81%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction495389884safe428–562323–455750–1018safer410–580305–473715–1053
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction68.6868.07safe64.65–72.7163.74–72.39safer63.36–74.0062.44–73.70
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8013.1824.98safe8.96–14.6410.24–16.1319.20–30.76safer8.20–15.399.49–16.8817.70–32.27
Offsides
33%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.833.36safe0.37–2.690.73–2.921.11–5.61safer0.07–2.990.45–3.210.52–6.20
Yellow cards
33%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.833.40safe0.52–2.620.70–2.961.23–5.58safer0.26–2.890.41–3.250.67–6.14
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
34%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.512.975.48safe1.07–3.941.42–4.532.49–8.47safer0.68–4.330.99–4.951.67–9.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.59–2.52 0.33–2.77 | 1.17 0.32–2.03 0.09–2.26 | 2.73 0.91–4.55 0.43–5.03 | 46% 25% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.84 2.97–6.70 2.48–7.19 | 3.78 2.03–5.52 1.57–5.98 | 8.61 5.01–12.22 4.05–13.17 | 57% 30% |
| Total shots | 14.28 10.35–18.20 9.26–19.29 | 11.10 7.54–14.66 6.58–15.62 | 25.37 17.89–32.86 15.84–34.91 | 70% 23% |
| Shots in box | 9.40 6.46–12.34 5.63–13.17 | 7.85 5.17–10.53 4.44–11.27 | 17.26 11.63–22.88 10.07–24.45 | 60% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 4.10 2.21–5.98 1.67–6.52 | 3.33 1.67–4.98 1.18–5.47 | 7.42 3.89–10.96 2.85–11.99 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Corners | 5.91 3.69–8.12 3.12–8.69 | 4.25 2.25–6.25 1.72–6.78 | 10.16 5.94–14.37 4.84–15.48 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 55.47 48.68–62.26 47.01–63.93 | 44.68 37.89–51.46 36.22–53.13 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 495 428–562 410–580 | 389 323–455 305–473 | 884 750–1018 715–1053 | 81% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.68 64.65–72.71 63.36–74.00 | 68.07 63.74–72.39 62.44–73.70 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 11.80 8.96–14.64 8.20–15.39 | 13.18 10.24–16.13 9.49–16.88 | 24.98 19.20–30.76 17.70–32.27 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–2.99 | 1.83 0.73–2.92 0.45–3.21 | 3.36 1.11–5.61 0.52–6.20 | 33% 23% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.40 1.23–5.58 0.67–6.14 | 33% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.07–3.94 0.68–4.33 | 2.97 1.42–4.53 0.99–4.95 | 5.48 2.49–8.47 1.67–9.28 | 34% 17% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.