Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 26·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
22%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.002.92safe0.95–2.890.15–1.861.10–4.75safer0.70–3.140.00–2.090.62–5.23
Shots on target
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.843.409.23safe3.97–7.701.65–5.145.63–12.84safer3.48–8.191.19–5.614.67–13.79
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction16.758.9825.73safe12.83–20.685.42–12.5418.25–33.22safer11.74–21.774.46–13.5016.20–35.27
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.956.3617.31safe8.00–13.893.68–9.0411.68–22.93safer7.17–14.722.94–9.7810.12–24.50
Blocked shots
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.652.306.95safe2.77–6.530.65–3.963.42–10.49safer2.22–7.070.16–4.452.38–11.52
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.533.7710.30safe4.32–8.741.77–5.776.08–14.51safer3.74–9.321.23–6.304.98–15.62
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.3041.86safe51.51–65.0935.08–48.65safer49.84–66.7633.41–50.32
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction531381912safe464–599314–447778–1046safer446–617297–465743–1081
Pass accuracy %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction72.6666.23safe68.63–76.6961.91–70.55safer67.34–77.9860.60–71.86
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0710.6422.70safe9.23–14.907.69–13.5816.92–28.49safer8.47–15.666.94–14.3315.42–29.99
Offsides
18%
15%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction1.833.335.17safe0.67–2.992.24–4.432.91–7.42safer0.37–3.291.95–4.722.32–8.01
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.863.47safe0.56–2.660.74–2.991.30–5.65safer0.29–2.930.44–3.280.74–6.21
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
19%
14%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.243.826.06safe0.80–3.672.26–5.383.06–9.05safer0.41–4.061.84–5.802.25–9.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.92 0.95–2.89 0.70–3.14 | 1.00 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.09 | 2.92 1.10–4.75 0.62–5.23 | 59% 22% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.84 3.97–7.70 3.48–8.19 | 3.40 1.65–5.14 1.19–5.61 | 9.23 5.63–12.84 4.67–13.79 | 74% 16% |
| Total shots | 16.75 12.83–20.68 11.74–21.77 | 8.98 5.42–12.54 4.46–13.50 | 25.73 18.25–33.22 16.20–35.27 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 10.95 8.00–13.89 7.17–14.72 | 6.36 3.68–9.04 2.94–9.78 | 17.31 11.68–22.93 10.12–24.50 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.65 2.77–6.53 2.22–7.07 | 2.30 0.65–3.96 0.16–4.45 | 6.95 3.42–10.49 2.38–11.52 | 76% 14% |
| Corners | 6.53 4.32–8.74 3.74–9.32 | 3.77 1.77–5.77 1.23–6.30 | 10.30 6.08–14.51 4.98–15.62 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 58.30 51.51–65.09 49.84–66.76 | 41.86 35.08–48.65 33.41–50.32 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 531 464–599 446–617 | 381 314–447 297–465 | 912 778–1046 743–1081 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.66 68.63–76.69 67.34–77.98 | 66.23 61.91–70.55 60.60–71.86 | — | 78% 19% |
| Fouls | 12.07 9.23–14.90 8.47–15.66 | 10.64 7.69–13.58 6.94–14.33 | 22.70 16.92–28.49 15.42–29.99 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 3.33 2.24–4.43 1.95–4.72 | 5.17 2.91–7.42 2.32–8.01 | 18% 15% 67% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.29–2.93 | 1.86 0.74–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.47 1.30–5.65 0.74–6.21 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.24 0.80–3.67 0.41–4.06 | 3.82 2.26–5.38 1.84–5.80 | 6.06 3.06–9.05 2.25–9.86 | 19% 14% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+