Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 26·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
21%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.083.09safe1.05–2.980.22–1.931.27–4.92safer0.80–3.240.00–2.160.79–5.40
Shots on target
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.133.579.71safe4.27–8.001.83–5.326.10–13.31safer3.78–8.491.36–5.785.15–14.27
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6110.4527.06safe12.68–20.536.89–14.0119.57–34.54safer11.59–21.635.93–14.9717.52–36.60
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.897.2319.12safe8.95–14.834.55–9.9113.50–24.74safer8.12–15.663.81–10.6511.93–26.31
Blocked shots
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.423.098.51safe3.54–7.311.44–4.754.98–12.05safer3.00–7.850.95–5.243.94–13.09
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.473.5810.05safe4.26–8.691.58–5.585.84–14.27safer3.69–9.261.05–6.114.73–15.37
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction61.0438.65safe54.25–67.8331.87–45.44safer52.58–69.5030.20–47.11
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction612368981safe545–680302–435847–1115safer527–698285–452812–1150
Pass accuracy %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction75.3868.04safe71.35–79.4163.72–72.37safer70.06–80.7062.41–73.68
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6411.1620.80safe6.80–12.488.21–14.1015.01–26.58safer6.05–13.237.46–14.8513.51–28.08
Offsides
30%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.803.20safe0.24–2.560.71–2.900.95–5.45safer0.00–2.860.42–3.190.36–6.04
Yellow cards
23%
22%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.242.003.24safe0.19–2.290.87–3.131.07–5.42safer0.00–2.560.58–3.420.51–5.98
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.12safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.676.23safe1.13–4.002.11–5.223.24–9.22safer0.74–4.391.69–5.652.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.02 1.05–2.98 0.80–3.24 | 1.08 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 3.09 1.27–4.92 0.79–5.40 | 59% 21% 20% |
| Shots on target | 6.13 4.27–8.00 3.78–8.49 | 3.57 1.83–5.32 1.36–5.78 | 9.71 6.10–13.31 5.15–14.27 | 75% 16% |
| Total shots | 16.61 12.68–20.53 11.59–21.63 | 10.45 6.89–14.01 5.93–14.97 | 27.06 19.57–34.54 17.52–36.60 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 11.89 8.95–14.83 8.12–15.66 | 7.23 4.55–9.91 3.81–10.65 | 19.12 13.50–24.74 11.93–26.31 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 5.42 3.54–7.31 3.00–7.85 | 3.09 1.44–4.75 0.95–5.24 | 8.51 4.98–12.05 3.94–13.09 | 74% 16% |
| Corners | 6.47 4.26–8.69 3.69–9.26 | 3.58 1.58–5.58 1.05–6.11 | 10.05 5.84–14.27 4.73–15.37 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 61.04 54.25–67.83 52.58–69.50 | 38.65 31.87–45.44 30.20–47.11 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 612 545–680 527–698 | 368 302–435 285–452 | 981 847–1115 812–1150 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.38 71.35–79.41 70.06–80.70 | 68.04 63.72–72.37 62.41–73.68 | — | 81% 16% |
| Fouls | 9.64 6.80–12.48 6.05–13.23 | 11.16 8.21–14.10 7.46–14.85 | 20.80 15.01–26.58 13.51–28.08 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.40 0.24–2.56 0.00–2.86 | 1.80 0.71–2.90 0.42–3.19 | 3.20 0.95–5.45 0.36–6.04 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.24 0.19–2.29 0.00–2.56 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.24 1.07–5.42 0.51–5.98 | 23% 22% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.13–4.00 0.74–4.39 | 3.67 2.11–5.22 1.69–5.65 | 6.23 3.24–9.22 2.42–10.03 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.