Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 26·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
25%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.071.562.62safe0.10–2.040.70–2.410.80–4.45safer0.00–2.290.47–2.640.32–4.93
Shots on target
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction3.485.288.76safe1.62–5.353.54–7.025.16–12.37safer1.13–5.843.07–7.494.20–13.32
Total shots
19%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2615.2026.46safe7.34–15.1911.64–18.7618.98–33.95safer6.25–16.2810.68–19.7216.93–36.00
Shots in box
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction7.599.8017.39safe4.65–10.547.12–12.4811.77–23.02safer3.82–11.376.38–13.2210.20–24.58
Blocked shots
32%
14%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.354.137.48safe1.47–5.232.48–5.783.94–11.01safer0.92–5.771.98–6.272.91–12.05
Corners
42%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction5.135.2310.36safe2.91–7.343.23–7.236.14–14.57safer2.34–7.912.70–7.765.04–15.68
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction41.9658.73safe35.17–48.7551.94–65.51safer33.50–50.4250.27–67.19
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction373518892safe306–441452–585758–1025safer288–459434–602722–1061
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction63.3076.15safe59.27–67.3371.82–80.47safer57.98–68.6370.51–81.78
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8512.7525.60safe10.02–15.699.80–15.6919.82–31.38safer9.26–16.459.05–16.4418.31–32.89
Offsides
51%
22%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.343.24safe0.74–3.060.24–2.430.99–5.49safer0.44–3.360.00–2.720.40–6.08
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.903.64safe0.69–2.790.77–3.031.46–5.82safer0.42–3.060.48–3.320.91–6.38
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
59%
15%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.472.405.87safe2.03–4.910.84–3.952.87–8.86safer1.65–5.290.41–4.382.06–9.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.10–2.04 0.00–2.29 | 1.56 0.70–2.41 0.47–2.64 | 2.62 0.80–4.45 0.32–4.93 | 26% 25% 49% |
| Shots on target | 3.48 1.62–5.35 1.13–5.84 | 5.28 3.54–7.02 3.07–7.49 | 8.76 5.16–12.37 4.20–13.32 | 22% 67% |
| Total shots | 11.26 7.34–15.19 6.25–16.28 | 15.20 11.64–18.76 10.68–19.72 | 26.46 18.98–33.95 16.93–36.00 | 19% 75% |
| Shots in box | 7.59 4.65–10.54 3.82–11.37 | 9.80 7.12–12.48 6.38–13.22 | 17.39 11.77–23.02 10.20–24.58 | 26% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 3.35 1.47–5.23 0.92–5.77 | 4.13 2.48–5.78 1.98–6.27 | 7.48 3.94–11.01 2.91–12.05 | 32% 14% 54% |
| Corners | 5.13 2.91–7.34 2.34–7.91 | 5.23 3.23–7.23 2.70–7.76 | 10.36 6.14–14.57 5.04–15.68 | 42% 45% |
| Possession % | 41.96 35.17–48.75 33.50–50.42 | 58.73 51.94–65.51 50.27–67.19 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 373 306–441 288–459 | 518 452–585 434–602 | 892 758–1025 722–1061 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.30 59.27–67.33 57.98–68.63 | 76.15 71.82–80.47 70.51–81.78 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 12.85 10.02–15.69 9.26–16.45 | 12.75 9.80–15.69 9.05–16.44 | 25.60 19.82–31.38 18.31–32.89 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 1.34 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 3.24 0.99–5.49 0.40–6.08 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.42–3.06 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.64 1.46–5.82 0.91–6.38 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.47 2.03–4.91 1.65–5.29 | 2.40 0.84–3.95 0.41–4.38 | 5.87 2.87–8.86 2.06–9.67 | 59% 15% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.