Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 26·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
23%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction0.971.812.77safe0.00–1.940.95–2.660.95–4.60safer0.00–2.190.72–2.890.47–5.08
Shots on target
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.605.188.78safe1.73–5.463.44–6.925.17–12.38safer1.24–5.952.97–7.394.22–13.34
Total shots
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2214.5926.80safe8.29–16.1411.02–18.1519.32–34.29safer7.20–17.2310.06–19.1117.26–36.34
Shots in box
24%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction7.7610.1817.94safe4.82–10.707.50–12.8612.32–23.56safer3.99–11.536.76–13.6010.75–25.13
Blocked shots
29%
13%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.494.518.01safe1.61–5.382.86–6.174.47–11.54safer1.07–5.922.37–6.663.44–12.58
Corners
28%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction4.215.519.72safe1.99–6.423.51–7.515.50–13.93safer1.42–6.992.98–8.044.40–15.04
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction37.1862.93safe30.39–43.9756.14–69.71safer28.72–45.6454.47–71.38
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction361575937safe294–429509–642803–1070safer276–447491–659767–1106
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction60.5376.16safe56.50–64.5671.83–80.48safer55.20–65.8570.52–81.79
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction11.229.9021.12safe8.38–14.066.96–12.8515.34–26.90safer7.62–14.816.21–13.5913.83–28.41
Offsides
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.193.97safe0.62–2.941.10–3.281.72–6.23safer0.32–3.240.81–3.571.13–6.81
Yellow cards
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.573.42safe0.81–2.910.44–2.691.24–5.60safer0.54–3.170.14–2.990.69–6.16
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
52%
16%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.282.635.91safe1.85–4.721.07–4.182.92–8.90safer1.46–5.110.65–4.612.11–9.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.97 0.00–1.94 0.00–2.19 | 1.81 0.95–2.66 0.72–2.89 | 2.77 0.95–4.60 0.47–5.08 | 20% 23% 57% |
| Shots on target | 3.60 1.73–5.46 1.24–5.95 | 5.18 3.44–6.92 2.97–7.39 | 8.78 5.17–12.38 4.22–13.34 | 24% 64% |
| Total shots | 12.22 8.29–16.14 7.20–17.23 | 14.59 11.02–18.15 10.06–19.11 | 26.80 19.32–34.29 17.26–36.34 | 29% 64% |
| Shots in box | 7.76 4.82–10.70 3.99–11.53 | 10.18 7.50–12.86 6.76–13.60 | 17.94 12.32–23.56 10.75–25.13 | 24% 67% |
| Blocked shots | 3.49 1.61–5.38 1.07–5.92 | 4.51 2.86–6.17 2.37–6.66 | 8.01 4.47–11.54 3.44–12.58 | 29% 13% 57% |
| Corners | 4.21 1.99–6.42 1.42–6.99 | 5.51 3.51–7.51 2.98–8.04 | 9.72 5.50–13.93 4.40–15.04 | 28% 60% |
| Possession % | 37.18 30.39–43.97 28.72–45.64 | 62.93 56.14–69.71 54.47–71.38 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 361 294–429 276–447 | 575 509–642 491–659 | 937 803–1070 767–1106 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.53 56.50–64.56 55.20–65.85 | 76.16 71.83–80.48 70.52–81.79 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 11.22 8.38–14.06 7.62–14.81 | 9.90 6.96–12.85 6.21–13.59 | 21.12 15.34–26.90 13.83–28.41 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 2.19 1.10–3.28 0.81–3.57 | 3.97 1.72–6.23 1.13–6.81 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.54–3.17 | 1.57 0.44–2.69 0.14–2.99 | 3.42 1.24–5.60 0.69–6.16 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.28 1.85–4.72 1.46–5.11 | 2.63 1.07–4.18 0.65–4.61 | 5.91 2.92–8.90 2.11–9.72 | 52% 16% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.