Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 26·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
23%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.032.84safe0.84–2.780.17–1.881.02–4.66safer0.59–3.030.00–2.110.54–5.14
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.443.478.91safe3.58–7.311.72–5.215.30–12.51safer3.09–7.801.26–5.674.35–13.47
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2210.7926.01safe11.29–19.147.23–14.3518.52–33.49safer10.20–20.236.27–15.3116.47–35.55
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction10.097.0017.08safe7.15–13.034.31–9.6811.46–22.71safer6.32–13.863.58–10.419.89–24.27
Blocked shots
63%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.032.656.68safe2.15–5.911.00–4.303.14–10.21safer1.60–6.450.51–4.802.11–11.25
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.034.2110.24safe3.82–8.242.21–6.216.03–14.45safer3.24–8.821.68–6.744.92–15.56
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.7545.43safe47.96–61.5438.64–52.21safer46.29–63.2136.97–53.88
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction496401897safe429–564334–467763–1031safer411–582317–485728–1067
Pass accuracy %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction68.4868.46safe64.45–72.5064.13–72.78safer63.15–73.8062.82–74.09
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0913.8524.94safe8.25–13.9310.90–16.7919.16–30.72safer7.50–14.6910.15–17.5417.65–32.22
Offsides
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.072.334.41safe0.91–3.231.24–3.432.15–6.66safer0.61–3.530.95–3.711.56–7.25
Yellow cards
24%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.462.283.74safe0.41–2.501.15–3.411.56–5.92safer0.14–2.770.86–3.701.00–6.47
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.130.21safe0.00–0.240.00–0.320.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.450.00–0.84
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.403.575.96safe0.96–3.842.01–5.122.97–8.96safer0.58–4.221.58–5.552.16–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.81 0.84–2.78 0.59–3.03 | 1.03 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 2.84 1.02–4.66 0.54–5.14 | 56% 23% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.44 3.58–7.31 3.09–7.80 | 3.47 1.72–5.21 1.26–5.67 | 8.91 5.30–12.51 4.35–13.47 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 15.22 11.29–19.14 10.20–20.23 | 10.79 7.23–14.35 6.27–15.31 | 26.01 18.52–33.49 16.47–35.55 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 10.09 7.15–13.03 6.32–13.86 | 7.00 4.31–9.68 3.58–10.41 | 17.08 11.46–22.71 9.89–24.27 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.03 2.15–5.91 1.60–6.45 | 2.65 1.00–4.30 0.51–4.80 | 6.68 3.14–10.21 2.11–11.25 | 63% 14% 23% |
| Corners | 6.03 3.82–8.24 3.24–8.82 | 4.21 2.21–6.21 1.68–6.74 | 10.24 6.03–14.45 4.92–15.56 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 54.75 47.96–61.54 46.29–63.21 | 45.43 38.64–52.21 36.97–53.88 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 496 429–564 411–582 | 401 334–467 317–485 | 897 763–1031 728–1067 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.48 64.45–72.50 63.15–73.80 | 68.46 64.13–72.78 62.82–74.09 | — | 48% 47% |
| Fouls | 11.09 8.25–13.93 7.50–14.69 | 13.85 10.90–16.79 10.15–17.54 | 24.94 19.16–30.72 17.65–32.22 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.91–3.23 0.61–3.53 | 2.33 1.24–3.43 0.95–3.71 | 4.41 2.15–6.66 1.56–7.25 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 0.41–2.50 0.14–2.77 | 2.28 1.15–3.41 0.86–3.70 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.00–6.47 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.40 0.96–3.84 0.58–4.22 | 3.57 2.01–5.12 1.58–5.55 | 5.96 2.97–8.96 2.16–9.77 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+