Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 26·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
24%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.062.72safe0.69–2.630.20–1.910.89–4.54safer0.44–2.880.00–2.140.41–5.02
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.303.228.52safe3.44–7.161.48–4.974.92–12.13safer2.95–7.651.01–5.433.96–13.08
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9410.1826.12safe12.02–19.876.61–13.7418.63–33.61safer10.93–20.965.65–14.7016.58–35.66
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction10.686.8017.47safe7.73–13.624.12–9.4811.85–23.10safer6.90–14.453.38–10.2210.28–24.66
Blocked shots
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.572.727.29safe2.69–6.451.07–4.383.76–10.83safer2.14–7.000.58–4.872.72–11.86
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.164.2810.43safe3.94–8.372.28–6.286.22–14.65safer3.37–8.941.74–6.815.11–15.75
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.6739.18safe53.87–67.4632.39–45.96safer52.21–69.1330.72–47.63
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction533333866safe466–601266–399733–1000safer448–619249–417697–1036
Pass accuracy %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction68.6363.24safe64.60–72.6658.92–67.56safer63.31–73.9657.61–68.87
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9612.9823.94safe8.13–13.8010.03–15.9218.16–29.72safer7.37–14.569.28–16.6716.66–31.23
Offsides
38%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.462.92safe0.30–2.620.37–2.560.67–5.18safer0.00–2.920.08–2.850.08–5.77
Yellow cards
23%
21%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.252.043.29safe0.20–2.300.91–3.171.11–5.47safer0.00–2.570.62–3.460.55–6.03
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
23%
15%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.363.605.96safe0.92–3.802.04–5.152.96–8.95safer0.54–4.181.62–5.582.15–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.66 0.69–2.63 0.44–2.88 | 1.06 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 2.72 0.89–4.54 0.41–5.02 | 52% 24% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.30 3.44–7.16 2.95–7.65 | 3.22 1.48–4.97 1.01–5.43 | 8.52 4.92–12.13 3.96–13.08 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 15.94 12.02–19.87 10.93–20.96 | 10.18 6.61–13.74 5.65–14.70 | 26.12 18.63–33.61 16.58–35.66 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 10.68 7.73–13.62 6.90–14.45 | 6.80 4.12–9.48 3.38–10.22 | 17.47 11.85–23.10 10.28–24.66 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.57 2.69–6.45 2.14–7.00 | 2.72 1.07–4.38 0.58–4.87 | 7.29 3.76–10.83 2.72–11.86 | 69% 19% |
| Corners | 6.16 3.94–8.37 3.37–8.94 | 4.28 2.28–6.28 1.74–6.81 | 10.43 6.22–14.65 5.11–15.75 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 60.67 53.87–67.46 52.21–69.13 | 39.18 32.39–45.96 30.72–47.63 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 533 466–601 448–619 | 333 266–399 249–417 | 866 733–1000 697–1036 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.63 64.60–72.66 63.31–73.96 | 63.24 58.92–67.56 57.61–68.87 | — | 74% 22% |
| Fouls | 10.96 8.13–13.80 7.37–14.56 | 12.98 10.03–15.92 9.28–16.67 | 23.94 18.16–29.72 16.66–31.23 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 1.46 0.37–2.56 0.08–2.85 | 2.92 0.67–5.18 0.08–5.77 | 38% 25% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.25 0.20–2.30 0.00–2.57 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.29 1.11–5.47 0.55–6.03 | 23% 21% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.92–3.80 0.54–4.18 | 3.60 2.04–5.15 1.62–5.58 | 5.96 2.96–8.95 2.15–9.76 | 23% 15% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.