Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 27·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.222.71safe0.53–2.460.36–2.070.89–4.54safer0.28–2.720.13–2.300.41–5.02
Shots on target
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.974.989.94safe3.10–6.833.23–6.726.34–13.55safer2.61–7.322.77–7.195.38–14.50
Total shots
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4514.2129.66safe11.53–19.3810.64–17.7722.17–37.15safer10.44–20.479.69–18.7320.12–39.20
Shots in box
52%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction9.678.9118.58safe6.73–12.616.23–11.5912.96–24.20safer5.90–13.445.49–12.3311.39–25.77
Blocked shots
51%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.983.427.40safe2.10–5.861.76–5.073.86–10.93safer1.55–6.411.27–5.562.82–11.97
Corners
60%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.944.6510.59safe3.73–8.152.65–6.656.38–14.80safer3.15–8.732.12–7.185.27–15.91
Possession %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction53.3547.54safe46.56–60.1440.76–54.33safer44.89–61.8139.09–56.00
Passes
65%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction472425897safe405–539359–492764–1031safer387–558341–509728–1067
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction66.5269.27safe62.49–70.5564.95–73.59safer61.20–71.8463.64–74.90
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1312.8723.00safe7.30–12.979.92–15.8117.22–28.78safer6.54–13.739.17–16.5615.71–30.29
Offsides
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.753.72safe0.81–3.130.66–2.841.47–5.98safer0.51–3.440.37–3.130.88–6.57
Yellow cards
31%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.592.003.59safe0.54–2.640.87–3.131.41–5.77safer0.27–2.900.58–3.420.85–6.32
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
37%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.053.346.38safe1.61–4.481.78–4.893.39–9.38safer1.22–4.871.36–5.322.58–10.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.46 0.28–2.72 | 1.22 0.36–2.07 0.13–2.30 | 2.71 0.89–4.54 0.41–5.02 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.97 3.10–6.83 2.61–7.32 | 4.98 3.23–6.72 2.77–7.19 | 9.94 6.34–13.55 5.38–14.50 | 43% 44% |
| Total shots | 15.45 11.53–19.38 10.44–20.47 | 14.21 10.64–17.77 9.69–18.73 | 29.66 22.17–37.15 20.12–39.20 | 55% 37% |
| Shots in box | 9.67 6.73–12.61 5.90–13.44 | 8.91 6.23–11.59 5.49–12.33 | 18.58 12.96–24.20 11.39–25.77 | 52% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.98 2.10–5.86 1.55–6.41 | 3.42 1.76–5.07 1.27–5.56 | 7.40 3.86–10.93 2.82–11.97 | 51% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 5.94 3.73–8.15 3.15–8.73 | 4.65 2.65–6.65 2.12–7.18 | 10.59 6.38–14.80 5.27–15.91 | 60% 29% |
| Possession % | 53.35 46.56–60.14 44.89–61.81 | 47.54 40.76–54.33 39.09–56.00 | — | 61% 34% |
| Passes | 472 405–539 387–558 | 425 359–492 341–509 | 897 764–1031 728–1067 | 65% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.52 62.49–70.55 61.20–71.84 | 69.27 64.95–73.59 63.64–74.90 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 10.13 7.30–12.97 6.54–13.73 | 12.87 9.92–15.81 9.17–16.56 | 23.00 17.22–28.78 15.71–30.29 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.13 0.51–3.44 | 1.75 0.66–2.84 0.37–3.13 | 3.72 1.47–5.98 0.88–6.57 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.27–2.90 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.59 1.41–5.77 0.85–6.32 | 31% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.05 1.61–4.48 1.22–4.87 | 3.34 1.78–4.89 1.36–5.32 | 6.38 3.39–9.38 2.58–10.19 | 37% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.