Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 27·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
19%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.150.903.05safe1.18–3.120.04–1.751.23–4.87safer0.93–3.370.00–1.980.75–5.35
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.173.229.40safe4.31–8.041.48–4.975.79–13.00safer3.82–8.531.01–5.434.84–13.96
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction18.8710.5529.42safe14.94–22.796.99–14.1221.93–36.91safer13.85–23.886.03–15.0819.88–38.96
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction12.196.3718.56safe9.25–15.133.69–9.0512.94–24.18safer8.42–15.962.95–9.7911.37–25.75
Blocked shots
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.333.448.78safe3.45–7.221.79–5.095.24–12.31safer2.91–7.761.30–5.594.20–13.35
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.374.0010.37safe4.16–8.592.00–6.006.16–14.59safer3.59–9.161.47–6.535.05–15.69
Possession %
74%
23%
homeawayprediction55.8644.11safe49.07–62.6537.33–50.90safer47.40–64.3235.66–52.57
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction541400940safe473–608333–466807–1074safer455–626316–484771–1110
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction72.0970.85safe68.06–76.1166.52–75.17safer66.76–77.4165.21–76.48
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3511.8223.17safe8.51–14.198.87–14.7617.38–28.95safer7.76–14.948.12–15.5115.88–30.45
Offsides
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.633.54safe0.75–3.080.53–2.721.29–5.79safer0.45–3.380.24–3.010.70–6.38
Yellow cards
34%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.673.13safe0.41–2.510.54–2.800.95–5.30safer0.14–2.770.25–3.090.39–5.86
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
20%
14%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.293.816.10safe0.85–3.732.25–5.363.11–9.09safer0.47–4.111.83–5.792.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.15 1.18–3.12 0.93–3.37 | 0.90 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 3.05 1.23–4.87 0.75–5.35 | 66% 19% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.17 4.31–8.04 3.82–8.53 | 3.22 1.48–4.97 1.01–5.43 | 9.40 5.79–13.00 4.84–13.96 | 79% |
| Total shots | 18.87 14.94–22.79 13.85–23.88 | 10.55 6.99–14.12 6.03–15.08 | 29.42 21.93–36.91 19.88–38.96 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 12.19 9.25–15.13 8.42–15.96 | 6.37 3.69–9.05 2.95–9.79 | 18.56 12.94–24.18 11.37–25.75 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 5.33 3.45–7.22 2.91–7.76 | 3.44 1.79–5.09 1.30–5.59 | 8.78 5.24–12.31 4.20–13.35 | 68% 21% |
| Corners | 6.37 4.16–8.59 3.59–9.16 | 4.00 2.00–6.00 1.47–6.53 | 10.37 6.16–14.59 5.05–15.69 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 55.86 49.07–62.65 47.40–64.32 | 44.11 37.33–50.90 35.66–52.57 | — | 74% 23% |
| Passes | 541 473–608 455–626 | 400 333–466 316–484 | 940 807–1074 771–1110 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.09 68.06–76.11 66.76–77.41 | 70.85 66.52–75.17 65.21–76.48 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 11.35 8.51–14.19 7.76–14.94 | 11.82 8.87–14.76 8.12–15.51 | 23.17 17.38–28.95 15.88–30.45 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.91 0.75–3.08 0.45–3.38 | 1.63 0.53–2.72 0.24–3.01 | 3.54 1.29–5.79 0.70–6.38 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 0.41–2.51 0.14–2.77 | 1.67 0.54–2.80 0.25–3.09 | 3.13 0.95–5.30 0.39–5.86 | 34% 24% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.29 0.85–3.73 0.47–4.11 | 3.81 2.25–5.36 1.83–5.79 | 6.10 3.11–9.09 2.29–9.90 | 20% 14% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.