Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 27·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.302.90safe0.63–2.570.45–2.161.08–4.72safer0.38–2.820.22–2.380.60–5.20
Shots on target
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.014.219.22safe3.15–6.872.47–5.955.61–12.82safer2.66–7.362.00–6.424.66–13.78
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1312.1326.26safe10.21–18.068.57–15.6918.77–33.75safer9.12–19.157.61–16.6516.72–35.80
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction9.197.7416.94safe6.25–12.145.06–10.4211.31–22.56safer5.42–12.964.32–11.169.75–24.13
Blocked shots
37%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.463.887.35safe1.58–5.352.23–5.543.81–10.88safer1.04–5.891.74–6.032.78–11.92
Corners
47%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.824.569.37safe2.60–7.032.56–6.565.16–13.59safer2.03–7.602.02–7.094.05–14.69
Possession %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction50.2450.50safe43.45–57.0343.71–57.28safer41.78–58.7042.04–58.95
Passes
61%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction491456948safe424–559390–523814–1081safer406–577372–540778–1117
Pass accuracy %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction67.1473.87safe63.11–71.1769.55–78.19safer61.82–72.4768.24–79.50
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0812.5523.64safe8.25–13.929.61–15.5017.86–29.42safer7.49–14.688.86–16.2516.35–30.92
Offsides
68%
14%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction3.391.815.20safe2.23–4.550.71–2.902.95–7.45safer1.93–4.860.42–3.192.36–8.04
Yellow cards
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.572.123.69safe0.52–2.620.99–3.251.51–5.87safer0.25–2.890.70–3.540.95–6.42
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.793.306.09safe1.35–4.221.75–4.863.10–9.08safer0.96–4.611.32–5.282.28–9.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.60 0.63–2.57 0.38–2.82 | 1.30 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.38 | 2.90 1.08–4.72 0.60–5.20 | 44% 24% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.01 3.15–6.87 2.66–7.36 | 4.21 2.47–5.95 2.00–6.42 | 9.22 5.61–12.82 4.66–13.78 | 54% 33% |
| Total shots | 14.13 10.21–18.06 9.12–19.15 | 12.13 8.57–15.69 7.61–16.65 | 26.26 18.77–33.75 16.72–35.80 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 9.19 6.25–12.14 5.42–12.96 | 7.74 5.06–10.42 4.32–11.16 | 16.94 11.31–22.56 9.75–24.13 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.46 1.58–5.35 1.04–5.89 | 3.88 2.23–5.54 1.74–6.03 | 7.35 3.81–10.88 2.78–11.92 | 37% 15% 49% |
| Corners | 4.82 2.60–7.03 2.03–7.60 | 4.56 2.56–6.56 2.02–7.09 | 9.37 5.16–13.59 4.05–14.69 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Possession % | 50.24 43.45–57.03 41.78–58.70 | 50.50 43.71–57.28 42.04–58.95 | — | 47% 48% |
| Passes | 491 424–559 406–577 | 456 390–523 372–540 | 948 814–1081 778–1117 | 61% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.14 63.11–71.17 61.82–72.47 | 73.87 69.55–78.19 68.24–79.50 | — | 18% 79% |
| Fouls | 11.08 8.25–13.92 7.49–14.68 | 12.55 9.61–15.50 8.86–16.25 | 23.64 17.86–29.42 16.35–30.92 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 3.39 2.23–4.55 1.93–4.86 | 1.81 0.71–2.90 0.42–3.19 | 5.20 2.95–7.45 2.36–8.04 | 68% 14% 17% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.25–2.89 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 3.69 1.51–5.87 0.95–6.42 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 3.30 1.75–4.86 1.32–5.28 | 6.09 3.10–9.08 2.28–9.89 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.