Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 27·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
25%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.242.85safe0.65–2.580.38–2.091.03–4.67safer0.40–2.830.15–2.320.55–5.15
Shots on target
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.154.149.30safe3.29–7.022.40–5.885.69–12.90safer2.80–7.501.93–6.354.73–13.86
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3311.5625.89safe10.41–18.268.00–15.1218.40–33.38safer9.32–19.357.04–16.0816.35–35.43
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction10.347.1617.50safe7.40–13.284.48–9.8411.88–23.13safer6.57–14.113.75–10.5810.31–24.69
Blocked shots
46%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.943.707.64safe2.06–5.822.04–5.354.10–11.17safer1.52–6.371.55–5.843.07–12.21
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.864.1610.02safe3.65–8.072.16–6.165.81–14.23safer3.07–8.651.63–6.694.70–15.34
Possession %
48%
48%
homeawayprediction49.9650.00safe43.17–56.7543.22–56.79safer41.50–58.4241.55–58.46
Passes
59%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction478450928safe411–545383–516794–1062safer393–563366–534759–1097
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction64.3570.26safe60.32–68.3865.94–74.58safer59.03–69.6864.63–75.89
Fouls
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7911.2322.02safe7.95–13.638.28–14.1716.24–27.80safer7.20–14.397.53–14.9214.73–29.31
Offsides
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.212.87safe0.50–2.820.12–2.300.62–5.13safer0.20–3.120.00–2.590.03–5.71
Yellow cards
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.763.30safe0.49–2.590.63–2.891.12–5.48safer0.22–2.850.34–3.180.56–6.03
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.923.256.17safe1.48–4.351.70–4.813.18–9.16safer1.10–4.741.27–5.232.37–9.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.65–2.58 0.40–2.83 | 1.24 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.32 | 2.85 1.03–4.67 0.55–5.15 | 46% 25% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.15 3.29–7.02 2.80–7.50 | 4.14 2.40–5.88 1.93–6.35 | 9.30 5.69–12.90 4.73–13.86 | 57% 31% |
| Total shots | 14.33 10.41–18.26 9.32–19.35 | 11.56 8.00–15.12 7.04–16.08 | 25.89 18.40–33.38 16.35–35.43 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 10.34 7.40–13.28 6.57–14.11 | 7.16 4.48–9.84 3.75–10.58 | 17.50 11.88–23.13 10.31–24.69 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 3.94 2.06–5.82 1.52–6.37 | 3.70 2.04–5.35 1.55–5.84 | 7.64 4.10–11.17 3.07–12.21 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 5.86 3.65–8.07 3.07–8.65 | 4.16 2.16–6.16 1.63–6.69 | 10.02 5.81–14.23 4.70–15.34 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 49.96 43.17–56.75 41.50–58.42 | 50.00 43.22–56.79 41.55–58.46 | — | 48% 48% |
| Passes | 478 411–545 393–563 | 450 383–516 366–534 | 928 794–1062 759–1097 | 59% 41% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.35 60.32–68.38 59.03–69.68 | 70.26 65.94–74.58 64.63–75.89 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 10.79 7.95–13.63 7.20–14.39 | 11.23 8.28–14.17 7.53–14.92 | 22.02 16.24–27.80 14.73–29.31 | 42% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.21 0.12–2.30 0.00–2.59 | 2.87 0.62–5.13 0.03–5.71 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.22–2.85 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.30 1.12–5.48 0.56–6.03 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.92 1.48–4.35 1.10–4.74 | 3.25 1.70–4.81 1.27–5.23 | 6.17 3.18–9.16 2.37–9.98 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.