Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 27·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
18%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction0.962.283.24safe0.00–1.931.43–3.141.42–5.06safer0.00–2.181.20–3.360.94–5.54
Shots on target
20%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.765.829.59safe1.90–5.634.08–7.575.98–13.19safer1.41–6.123.62–8.035.03–14.15
Total shots
19%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1216.3528.46safe8.19–16.0412.78–19.9120.98–35.95safer7.10–17.1311.82–20.8718.93–38.00
Shots in box
18%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction7.8911.3519.24safe4.95–10.838.67–14.0313.62–24.86safer4.12–11.667.94–14.7712.05–26.43
Blocked shots
27%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.534.788.32safe1.65–5.423.13–6.444.78–11.85safer1.11–5.962.64–6.933.75–12.89
Corners
26%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction4.436.0310.46safe2.22–6.644.03–8.036.25–14.68safer1.64–7.223.50–8.575.14–15.78
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction40.3660.33safe33.57–47.1553.54–67.11safer31.90–48.8251.87–68.78
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction372541913safe304–439475–608779–1046safer286–457457–625743–1082
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction61.4278.18safe57.39–65.4573.86–82.50safer56.10–66.7472.55–83.81
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6911.0922.79safe8.86–14.538.15–14.0417.00–28.57safer8.10–15.297.40–14.7915.50–30.07
Offsides
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.753.83safe0.92–3.240.66–2.841.58–6.08safer0.62–3.540.37–3.130.99–6.67
Yellow cards
44%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.693.60safe0.87–2.970.56–2.821.43–5.78safer0.60–3.230.27–3.110.87–6.34
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
62%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.892.576.46safe2.45–5.331.01–4.133.47–9.45safer2.07–5.710.59–4.552.65–10.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.96 0.00–1.93 0.00–2.18 | 2.28 1.43–3.14 1.20–3.36 | 3.24 1.42–5.06 0.94–5.54 | 14% 18% 67% |
| Shots on target | 3.76 1.90–5.63 1.41–6.12 | 5.82 4.08–7.57 3.62–8.03 | 9.59 5.98–13.19 5.03–14.15 | 20% 69% |
| Total shots | 12.12 8.19–16.04 7.10–17.13 | 16.35 12.78–19.91 11.82–20.87 | 28.46 20.98–35.95 18.93–38.00 | 19% 76% |
| Shots in box | 7.89 4.95–10.83 4.12–11.66 | 11.35 8.67–14.03 7.94–14.77 | 19.24 13.62–24.86 12.05–26.43 | 18% 75% |
| Blocked shots | 3.53 1.65–5.42 1.11–5.96 | 4.78 3.13–6.44 2.64–6.93 | 8.32 4.78–11.85 3.75–12.89 | 27% 60% |
| Corners | 4.43 2.22–6.64 1.64–7.22 | 6.03 4.03–8.03 3.50–8.57 | 10.46 6.25–14.68 5.14–15.78 | 26% 63% |
| Possession % | 40.36 33.57–47.15 31.90–48.82 | 60.33 53.54–67.11 51.87–68.78 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 372 304–439 286–457 | 541 475–608 457–625 | 913 779–1046 743–1082 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.42 57.39–65.45 56.10–66.74 | 78.18 73.86–82.50 72.55–83.81 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 11.69 8.86–14.53 8.10–15.29 | 11.09 8.15–14.04 7.40–14.79 | 22.79 17.00–28.57 15.50–30.07 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 2.08 0.92–3.24 0.62–3.54 | 1.75 0.66–2.84 0.37–3.13 | 3.83 1.58–6.08 0.99–6.67 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.60–3.23 | 1.69 0.56–2.82 0.27–3.11 | 3.60 1.43–5.78 0.87–6.34 | 44% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.89 2.45–5.33 2.07–5.71 | 2.57 1.01–4.13 0.59–4.55 | 6.46 3.47–9.45 2.65–10.26 | 62% 14% 23% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.