Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 27·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.392.86safe0.50–2.440.53–2.241.03–4.68safer0.25–2.690.30–2.470.55–5.16
Shots on target
51%
13%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.804.249.04safe2.93–6.662.50–5.985.43–12.64safer2.44–7.152.03–6.454.48–13.60
Total shots
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2812.2325.51safe9.36–17.208.67–15.7918.02–33.00safer8.26–18.307.71–16.7515.97–35.05
Shots in box
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction8.997.8816.87safe6.05–11.945.20–10.5611.25–22.50safer5.22–12.764.46–11.309.68–24.06
Blocked shots
44%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.623.547.16safe1.74–5.501.89–5.193.62–10.70safer1.20–6.051.39–5.682.59–11.73
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.254.7910.04safe3.04–7.462.79–6.795.83–14.25safer2.46–8.042.26–7.324.72–15.36
Possession %
35%
61%
homeawayprediction47.3752.94safe40.58–54.1646.15–59.72safer38.91–55.8344.48–61.39
Passes
44%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction424441865safe356–491375–508731–999safer338–509357–525696–1034
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction60.7669.51safe56.73–64.7965.18–73.83safer55.44–66.0963.87–75.14
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0511.7524.79safe10.21–15.888.80–14.6919.01–30.58safer9.45–16.648.05–15.4417.51–32.08
Offsides
30%
19%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.424.26safe0.68–3.001.32–3.512.00–6.51safer0.38–3.301.04–3.801.41–7.10
Yellow cards
47%
20%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.261.884.14safe1.21–3.310.75–3.011.96–6.31safer0.94–3.570.46–3.301.40–6.87
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.703.015.71safe1.27–4.141.45–4.562.72–8.71safer0.88–4.531.03–4.991.91–9.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 0.50–2.44 0.25–2.69 | 1.39 0.53–2.24 0.30–2.47 | 2.86 1.03–4.68 0.55–5.16 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.80 2.93–6.66 2.44–7.15 | 4.24 2.50–5.98 2.03–6.45 | 9.04 5.43–12.64 4.48–13.60 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Total shots | 13.28 9.36–17.20 8.26–18.30 | 12.23 8.67–15.79 7.71–16.75 | 25.51 18.02–33.00 15.97–35.05 | 54% 38% |
| Shots in box | 8.99 6.05–11.94 5.22–12.76 | 7.88 5.20–10.56 4.46–11.30 | 16.87 11.25–22.50 9.68–24.06 | 56% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.62 1.74–5.50 1.20–6.05 | 3.54 1.89–5.19 1.39–5.68 | 7.16 3.62–10.70 2.59–11.73 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 5.25 3.04–7.46 2.46–8.04 | 4.79 2.79–6.79 2.26–7.32 | 10.04 5.83–14.25 4.72–15.36 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 47.37 40.58–54.16 38.91–55.83 | 52.94 46.15–59.72 44.48–61.39 | — | 35% 61% |
| Passes | 424 356–491 338–509 | 441 375–508 357–525 | 865 731–999 696–1034 | 44% 56% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.76 56.73–64.79 55.44–66.09 | 69.51 65.18–73.83 63.87–75.14 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 13.05 10.21–15.88 9.45–16.64 | 11.75 8.80–14.69 8.05–15.44 | 24.79 19.01–30.58 17.51–32.08 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 2.42 1.32–3.51 1.04–3.80 | 4.26 2.00–6.51 1.41–7.10 | 30% 19% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 2.26 1.21–3.31 0.94–3.57 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 4.14 1.96–6.31 1.40–6.87 | 47% 20% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.70 1.27–4.14 0.88–4.53 | 3.01 1.45–4.56 1.03–4.99 | 5.71 2.72–8.71 1.91–9.52 | 37% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+