Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 27·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
22%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction1.830.792.61safe0.86–2.790.00–1.640.79–4.43safer0.61–3.040.00–1.870.31–4.91
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.003.099.09safe4.13–7.861.35–4.835.48–12.69safer3.64–8.350.88–5.304.53–13.65
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction16.069.4425.50safe12.14–19.985.87–13.0018.01–32.98safer11.04–21.084.91–13.9615.96–35.03
Shots in box
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction10.836.6917.52safe7.88–13.774.01–9.3811.90–23.14safer7.05–14.603.28–10.1110.33–24.71
Blocked shots
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.722.657.38safe2.84–6.611.00–4.313.84–10.91safer2.30–7.150.51–4.802.81–11.95
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.203.629.82safe3.99–8.421.62–5.625.61–14.04safer3.42–8.991.09–6.154.50–15.14
Possession %
77%
20%
homeawayprediction56.6443.12safe49.85–63.4336.34–49.91safer48.18–65.1034.67–51.58
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction523392915safe456–590326–459782–1049safer438–609308–476746–1085
Pass accuracy %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction68.1566.50safe64.12–72.1862.17–70.82safer62.83–73.4760.86–72.13
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6612.0324.69safe9.82–15.509.08–14.9718.90–30.47safer9.06–16.258.33–15.7217.40–31.97
Offsides
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.382.88safe0.34–2.660.29–2.470.62–5.13safer0.03–2.960.00–2.760.03–5.72
Yellow cards
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.742.113.84safe0.69–2.790.98–3.241.66–6.02safer0.42–3.050.69–3.531.11–6.58
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.130.19safe0.00–0.210.00–0.320.00–0.53safer0.00–0.360.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
18%
13%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.183.846.02safe0.75–3.622.28–5.403.03–9.02safer0.36–4.011.86–5.822.22–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.83 0.86–2.79 0.61–3.04 | 0.79 0.00–1.64 0.00–1.87 | 2.61 0.79–4.43 0.31–4.91 | 62% 22% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.00 4.13–7.86 3.64–8.35 | 3.09 1.35–4.83 0.88–5.30 | 9.09 5.48–12.69 4.53–13.65 | 79% |
| Total shots | 16.06 12.14–19.98 11.04–21.08 | 9.44 5.87–13.00 4.91–13.96 | 25.50 18.01–32.98 15.96–35.03 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 10.83 7.88–13.77 7.05–14.60 | 6.69 4.01–9.38 3.28–10.11 | 17.52 11.90–23.14 10.33–24.71 | 81% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 4.72 2.84–6.61 2.30–7.15 | 2.65 1.00–4.31 0.51–4.80 | 7.38 3.84–10.91 2.81–11.95 | 72% 17% |
| Corners | 6.20 3.99–8.42 3.42–8.99 | 3.62 1.62–5.62 1.09–6.15 | 9.82 5.61–14.04 4.50–15.14 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 56.64 49.85–63.43 48.18–65.10 | 43.12 36.34–49.91 34.67–51.58 | — | 77% 20% |
| Passes | 523 456–590 438–609 | 392 326–459 308–476 | 915 782–1049 746–1085 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.15 64.12–72.18 62.83–73.47 | 66.50 62.17–70.82 60.86–72.13 | — | 56% 39% |
| Fouls | 12.66 9.82–15.50 9.06–16.25 | 12.03 9.08–14.97 8.33–15.72 | 24.69 18.90–30.47 17.40–31.97 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.03–2.96 | 1.38 0.29–2.47 0.00–2.76 | 2.88 0.62–5.13 0.03–5.72 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.42–3.05 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.84 1.66–6.02 1.11–6.58 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.18 0.75–3.62 0.36–4.01 | 3.84 2.28–5.40 1.86–5.82 | 6.02 3.03–9.02 2.22–9.83 | 18% 13% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+