Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 27·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
25%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.582.90safe0.35–2.290.73–2.441.08–4.73safer0.10–2.540.50–2.660.60–5.21
Shots on target
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.325.099.41safe2.45–6.183.35–6.845.80–13.01safer1.96–6.672.88–7.304.85–13.97
Total shots
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5614.7527.31safe8.64–16.4911.19–18.3119.83–34.80safer7.55–17.5810.23–19.2717.78–36.85
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction8.4710.1218.59safe5.53–11.427.44–12.8012.97–24.22safer4.70–12.256.70–13.5411.40–25.78
Blocked shots
30%
13%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.634.608.22safe1.74–5.512.94–6.254.69–11.76safer1.20–6.052.45–6.743.65–12.79
Corners
42%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction5.205.3210.52safe2.99–7.413.32–7.326.31–14.74safer2.41–7.992.79–7.865.20–15.84
Possession %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction46.6754.37safe39.88–53.4647.59–61.16safer38.21–55.1345.92–62.83
Passes
32%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction439493932safe371–506427–560798–1066safer353–524409–577763–1101
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction67.6376.23safe63.61–71.6671.91–80.56safer62.31–72.9670.60–81.87
Fouls
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4911.5821.07safe6.65–12.338.63–14.5215.28–26.85safer5.90–13.097.88–15.2713.78–28.35
Offsides
47%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.553.50safe0.79–3.110.46–2.641.24–5.75safer0.49–3.410.17–2.930.65–6.34
Yellow cards
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.583.23safe0.60–2.700.45–2.711.05–5.41safer0.34–2.970.16–3.000.50–5.97
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.312.886.19safe1.87–4.741.32–4.443.19–9.18safer1.48–5.130.90–4.862.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.58 0.73–2.44 0.50–2.66 | 2.90 1.08–4.73 0.60–5.21 | 32% 25% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.32 2.45–6.18 1.96–6.67 | 5.09 3.35–6.84 2.88–7.30 | 9.41 5.80–13.01 4.85–13.97 | 34% 53% |
| Total shots | 12.56 8.64–16.49 7.55–17.58 | 14.75 11.19–18.31 10.23–19.27 | 27.31 19.83–34.80 17.78–36.85 | 30% 63% |
| Shots in box | 8.47 5.53–11.42 4.70–12.25 | 10.12 7.44–12.80 6.70–13.54 | 18.59 12.97–24.22 11.40–25.78 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.63 1.74–5.51 1.20–6.05 | 4.60 2.94–6.25 2.45–6.74 | 8.22 4.69–11.76 3.65–12.79 | 30% 13% 56% |
| Corners | 5.20 2.99–7.41 2.41–7.99 | 5.32 3.32–7.32 2.79–7.86 | 10.52 6.31–14.74 5.20–15.84 | 42% 45% |
| Possession % | 46.67 39.88–53.46 38.21–55.13 | 54.37 47.59–61.16 45.92–62.83 | — | 30% 65% |
| Passes | 439 371–506 353–524 | 493 427–560 409–577 | 932 798–1066 763–1101 | 32% 67% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.63 63.61–71.66 62.31–72.96 | 76.23 71.91–80.56 70.60–81.87 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 9.49 6.65–12.33 5.90–13.09 | 11.58 8.63–14.52 7.88–15.27 | 21.07 15.28–26.85 13.78–28.35 | 29% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.95 0.79–3.11 0.49–3.41 | 1.55 0.46–2.64 0.17–2.93 | 3.50 1.24–5.75 0.65–6.34 | 47% 22% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.65 0.60–2.70 0.34–2.97 | 1.58 0.45–2.71 0.16–3.00 | 3.23 1.05–5.41 0.50–5.97 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.31 1.87–4.74 1.48–5.13 | 2.88 1.32–4.44 0.90–4.86 | 6.19 3.19–9.18 2.38–9.99 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+