Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 28·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
19%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.130.842.96safe1.16–3.100.00–1.691.14–4.79safer0.91–3.350.00–1.920.66–5.27
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.083.119.19safe4.22–7.941.37–4.855.59–12.80safer3.73–8.430.90–5.324.63–13.75
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction16.418.6025.01safe12.49–20.345.04–12.1717.53–32.50safer11.40–21.434.08–13.1315.48–34.55
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction11.405.5416.94safe8.46–14.342.86–8.2211.32–22.56safer7.63–15.172.12–8.969.75–24.13
Blocked shots
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.482.527.00safe2.60–6.370.86–4.173.47–10.54safer2.06–6.910.37–4.662.43–11.57
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.533.329.85safe4.31–8.741.32–5.325.64–14.06safer3.74–9.310.79–5.864.53–15.17
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.8442.28safe52.05–65.6335.49–49.06safer50.38–67.3033.82–50.73
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction560417977safe493–627350–483843–1110safer475–645333–501807–1146
Pass accuracy %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction74.0467.71safe70.01–78.0763.38–72.03safer68.72–79.3662.07–73.34
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8211.0922.92safe8.99–14.668.15–14.0417.13–28.70safer8.23–15.427.40–14.7815.63–30.20
Offsides
18%
15%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction1.823.345.15safe0.66–2.982.24–4.432.90–7.41safer0.35–3.281.96–4.722.31–8.00
Yellow cards
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.953.51safe0.51–2.600.82–3.081.33–5.69safer0.24–2.870.53–3.370.77–6.24
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
17%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.153.946.10safe0.72–3.592.39–5.503.11–9.09safer0.33–3.981.96–5.922.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.13 1.16–3.10 0.91–3.35 | 0.84 0.00–1.69 0.00–1.92 | 2.96 1.14–4.79 0.66–5.27 | 67% 19% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.08 4.22–7.94 3.73–8.43 | 3.11 1.37–4.85 0.90–5.32 | 9.19 5.59–12.80 4.63–13.75 | 79% |
| Total shots | 16.41 12.49–20.34 11.40–21.43 | 8.60 5.04–12.17 4.08–13.13 | 25.01 17.53–32.50 15.48–34.55 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.40 8.46–14.34 7.63–15.17 | 5.54 2.86–8.22 2.12–8.96 | 16.94 11.32–22.56 9.75–24.13 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 4.48 2.60–6.37 2.06–6.91 | 2.52 0.86–4.17 0.37–4.66 | 7.00 3.47–10.54 2.43–11.57 | 71% 17% |
| Corners | 6.53 4.31–8.74 3.74–9.31 | 3.32 1.32–5.32 0.79–5.86 | 9.85 5.64–14.06 4.53–15.17 | 81% |
| Possession % | 58.84 52.05–65.63 50.38–67.30 | 42.28 35.49–49.06 33.82–50.73 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 560 493–627 475–645 | 417 350–483 333–501 | 977 843–1110 807–1146 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.04 70.01–78.07 68.72–79.36 | 67.71 63.38–72.03 62.07–73.34 | — | 77% 19% |
| Fouls | 11.82 8.99–14.66 8.23–15.42 | 11.09 8.15–14.04 7.40–14.78 | 22.92 17.13–28.70 15.63–30.20 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.35–3.28 | 3.34 2.24–4.43 1.96–4.72 | 5.15 2.90–7.41 2.31–8.00 | 18% 15% 67% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.60 0.24–2.87 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.51 1.33–5.69 0.77–6.24 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.15 0.72–3.59 0.33–3.98 | 3.94 2.39–5.50 1.96–5.92 | 6.10 3.11–9.09 2.29–9.90 | 17% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.