Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 28·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
19%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.180.973.15safe1.21–3.150.12–1.831.33–4.97safer0.96–3.400.00–2.050.85–5.45
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.403.409.80safe4.54–8.261.66–5.146.20–13.41safer4.05–8.751.19–5.615.24–14.37
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction18.009.7327.74safe14.08–21.936.17–13.3020.25–35.22safer12.99–23.025.21–14.2618.20–37.27
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction12.067.0119.07safe9.11–15.004.33–9.6913.45–24.69safer8.29–15.833.60–10.4311.88–26.26
Blocked shots
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.032.737.76safe3.15–6.911.07–4.384.22–11.29safer2.60–7.450.58–4.873.18–12.33
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.363.4610.81safe5.14–9.571.46–5.466.60–15.03safer4.57–10.140.93–5.995.49–16.13
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction62.9037.04safe56.11–69.6930.26–43.83safer54.44–71.3628.59–45.50
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction624357980safe556–691290–423847–1114safer538–709273–441811–1150
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction75.6066.58safe71.57–79.6362.26–70.91safer70.28–80.9260.95–72.21
Fouls
33%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2711.7822.04safe7.43–13.108.83–14.7216.26–27.83safer6.67–13.868.08–15.4714.76–29.33
Offsides
58%
18%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.711.744.45safe1.55–3.870.64–2.832.19–6.70safer1.25–4.170.36–3.121.60–7.29
Yellow cards
21%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.242.163.40safe0.19–2.291.03–3.291.23–5.58safer0.00–2.560.74–3.580.67–6.14
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.433.836.26safe1.00–3.872.27–5.383.26–9.25safer0.61–4.261.84–5.812.45–10.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.18 1.21–3.15 0.96–3.40 | 0.97 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.05 | 3.15 1.33–4.97 0.85–5.45 | 65% 19% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.40 4.54–8.26 4.05–8.75 | 3.40 1.66–5.14 1.19–5.61 | 9.80 6.20–13.41 5.24–14.37 | 79% |
| Total shots | 18.00 14.08–21.93 12.99–23.02 | 9.73 6.17–13.30 5.21–14.26 | 27.74 20.25–35.22 18.20–37.27 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 12.06 9.11–15.00 8.29–15.83 | 7.01 4.33–9.69 3.60–10.43 | 19.07 13.45–24.69 11.88–26.26 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 5.03 3.15–6.91 2.60–7.45 | 2.73 1.07–4.38 0.58–4.87 | 7.76 4.22–11.29 3.18–12.33 | 74% 15% |
| Corners | 7.36 5.14–9.57 4.57–10.14 | 3.46 1.46–5.46 0.93–5.99 | 10.81 6.60–15.03 5.49–16.13 | 85% |
| Possession % | 62.90 56.11–69.69 54.44–71.36 | 37.04 30.26–43.83 28.59–45.50 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 624 556–691 538–709 | 357 290–423 273–441 | 980 847–1114 811–1150 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.60 71.57–79.63 70.28–80.92 | 66.58 62.26–70.91 60.95–72.21 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 10.27 7.43–13.10 6.67–13.86 | 11.78 8.83–14.72 8.08–15.47 | 22.04 16.26–27.83 14.76–29.33 | 33% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.71 1.55–3.87 1.25–4.17 | 1.74 0.64–2.83 0.36–3.12 | 4.45 2.19–6.70 1.60–7.29 | 58% 18% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.24 0.19–2.29 0.00–2.56 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 3.40 1.23–5.58 0.67–6.14 | 21% 20% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.43 1.00–3.87 0.61–4.26 | 3.83 2.27–5.38 1.84–5.81 | 6.26 3.26–9.25 2.45–10.06 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+