Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 28·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
27%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.011.352.36safe0.04–1.980.50–2.210.54–4.19safer0.00–2.230.27–2.440.06–4.67
Shots on target
28%
14%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.304.427.72safe1.44–5.172.68–6.164.12–11.33safer0.95–5.662.21–6.633.16–12.28
Total shots
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4013.5524.94safe7.47–15.329.98–17.1117.46–32.43safer6.38–16.419.02–18.0715.40–34.48
Shots in box
28%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction7.179.0116.18safe4.23–10.126.33–11.6910.56–21.81safer3.40–10.955.59–12.438.99–23.37
Blocked shots
32%
14%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.574.367.93safe1.68–5.452.71–6.014.39–11.46safer1.14–5.992.21–6.503.36–12.50
Corners
38%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.775.2510.01safe2.56–6.983.25–7.255.80–14.23safer1.98–7.562.71–7.784.69–15.33
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction45.2754.02safe38.48–52.0647.23–60.80safer36.81–53.7345.56–62.47
Passes
35%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction424471895safe357–492404–537761–1029safer339–510387–555726–1064
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction61.5270.65safe57.49–65.5566.32–74.97safer56.20–66.8565.02–76.28
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8712.1123.97safe9.03–14.709.16–15.0518.19–29.76safer8.27–15.468.41–15.8016.69–31.26
Offsides
38%
25%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.402.82safe0.26–2.580.31–2.490.57–5.08safer0.00–2.880.02–2.780.00–5.66
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.873.56safe0.64–2.730.74–3.001.38–5.73safer0.37–3.000.45–3.290.82–6.29
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
49%
18%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.852.415.26safe1.42–4.290.86–3.972.27–8.26safer1.03–4.680.43–4.391.46–9.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.01 0.04–1.98 0.00–2.23 | 1.35 0.50–2.21 0.27–2.44 | 2.36 0.54–4.19 0.06–4.67 | 28% 27% 45% |
| Shots on target | 3.30 1.44–5.17 0.95–5.66 | 4.42 2.68–6.16 2.21–6.63 | 7.72 4.12–11.33 3.16–12.28 | 28% 14% 59% |
| Total shots | 11.40 7.47–15.32 6.38–16.41 | 13.55 9.98–17.11 9.02–18.07 | 24.94 17.46–32.43 15.40–34.48 | 30% 63% |
| Shots in box | 7.17 4.23–10.12 3.40–10.95 | 9.01 6.33–11.69 5.59–12.43 | 16.18 10.56–21.81 8.99–23.37 | 28% 63% |
| Blocked shots | 3.57 1.68–5.45 1.14–5.99 | 4.36 2.71–6.01 2.21–6.50 | 7.93 4.39–11.46 3.36–12.50 | 32% 14% 54% |
| Corners | 4.77 2.56–6.98 1.98–7.56 | 5.25 3.25–7.25 2.71–7.78 | 10.01 5.80–14.23 4.69–15.33 | 38% 50% |
| Possession % | 45.27 38.48–52.06 36.81–53.73 | 54.02 47.23–60.80 45.56–62.47 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 424 357–492 339–510 | 471 404–537 387–555 | 895 761–1029 726–1064 | 35% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.52 57.49–65.55 56.20–66.85 | 70.65 66.32–74.97 65.02–76.28 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 11.87 9.03–14.70 8.27–15.46 | 12.11 9.16–15.05 8.41–15.80 | 23.97 18.19–29.76 16.69–31.26 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 1.40 0.31–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 2.82 0.57–5.08 0.00–5.66 | 38% 25% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.73 0.37–3.00 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.56 1.38–5.73 0.82–6.29 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.85 1.42–4.29 1.03–4.68 | 2.41 0.86–3.97 0.43–4.39 | 5.26 2.27–8.26 1.46–9.07 | 49% 18% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.