Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 28·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
22%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.903.08safe0.21–2.151.05–2.761.26–4.90safer0.00–2.400.82–2.990.78–5.38
Shots on target
33%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.375.229.58safe2.50–6.233.48–6.965.98–13.19safer2.01–6.723.01–7.435.02–14.14
Total shots
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5714.2227.79safe9.64–17.4910.66–17.7820.30–35.27safer8.55–18.589.70–18.7418.25–37.32
Shots in box
35%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction8.689.8018.48safe5.74–11.627.12–12.4812.86–24.10safer4.91–12.456.38–13.2211.29–25.67
Blocked shots
32%
13%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.804.618.41safe1.92–5.682.96–6.264.87–11.94safer1.37–6.222.47–6.763.84–12.98
Corners
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.995.1910.18safe2.77–7.203.19–7.195.96–14.39safer2.20–7.772.66–7.724.86–15.50
Possession %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction44.6754.85safe37.88–51.4648.06–61.63safer36.21–53.1346.39–63.30
Passes
21%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction425521946safe358–492454–587812–1079safer340–510437–605776–1115
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction65.3574.79safe61.32–69.3870.47–79.12safer60.03–70.6869.16–80.42
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4511.6021.05safe6.61–12.298.65–14.5415.27–26.83safer5.86–13.047.91–15.2913.76–28.33
Offsides
32%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.003.66safe0.50–2.820.91–3.101.41–5.92safer0.20–3.120.62–3.380.82–6.51
Yellow cards
30%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.883.35safe0.43–2.520.75–3.011.17–5.53safer0.16–2.790.46–3.300.62–6.09
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
47%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.232.876.10safe1.79–4.661.31–4.433.10–9.09safer1.40–5.050.89–4.852.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.21–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 1.90 1.05–2.76 0.82–2.99 | 3.08 1.26–4.90 0.78–5.38 | 23% 22% 54% |
| Shots on target | 4.37 2.50–6.23 2.01–6.72 | 5.22 3.48–6.96 3.01–7.43 | 9.58 5.98–13.19 5.02–14.14 | 33% 54% |
| Total shots | 13.57 9.64–17.49 8.55–18.58 | 14.22 10.66–17.78 9.70–18.74 | 27.79 20.30–35.27 18.25–37.32 | 41% 51% |
| Shots in box | 8.68 5.74–11.62 4.91–12.45 | 9.80 7.12–12.48 6.38–13.22 | 18.48 12.86–24.10 11.29–25.67 | 35% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 3.80 1.92–5.68 1.37–6.22 | 4.61 2.96–6.26 2.47–6.76 | 8.41 4.87–11.94 3.84–12.98 | 32% 13% 54% |
| Corners | 4.99 2.77–7.20 2.20–7.77 | 5.19 3.19–7.19 2.66–7.72 | 10.18 5.96–14.39 4.86–15.50 | 41% 46% |
| Possession % | 44.67 37.88–51.46 36.21–53.13 | 54.85 48.06–61.63 46.39–63.30 | — | 25% 71% |
| Passes | 425 358–492 340–510 | 521 454–587 437–605 | 946 812–1079 776–1115 | 21% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.35 61.32–69.38 60.03–70.68 | 74.79 70.47–79.12 69.16–80.42 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 9.45 6.61–12.29 5.86–13.04 | 11.60 8.65–14.54 7.91–15.29 | 21.05 15.27–26.83 13.76–28.33 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 2.00 0.91–3.10 0.62–3.38 | 3.66 1.41–5.92 0.82–6.51 | 32% 21% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.43–2.52 0.16–2.79 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.35 1.17–5.53 0.62–6.09 | 30% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.23 1.79–4.66 1.40–5.05 | 2.87 1.31–4.43 0.89–4.85 | 6.10 3.10–9.09 2.29–9.90 | 47% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+