Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 28·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
23%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction0.981.832.81safe0.01–1.950.98–2.690.99–4.63safer0.00–2.200.75–2.920.51–5.11
Shots on target
18%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.255.368.62safe1.39–5.123.62–7.105.01–12.22safer0.90–5.613.15–7.574.06–13.18
Total shots
18%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3515.5426.89safe7.43–15.2811.98–19.1019.40–34.38safer6.33–16.3711.02–20.0617.35–36.43
Shots in box
13%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.4610.5216.98safe3.52–9.407.84–13.2011.35–22.60safer2.69–10.237.10–13.949.79–24.17
Blocked shots
29%
14%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.334.387.71safe1.45–5.212.72–6.034.17–11.24safer0.91–5.762.23–6.523.14–12.28
Corners
25%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction4.155.719.85safe1.93–6.363.71–7.715.64–14.07safer1.36–6.933.17–8.244.53–15.17
Possession %
14%
84%
homeawayprediction40.7658.37safe33.97–47.5551.58–65.15safer32.30–49.2249.91–66.82
Passes
16%
83%
homeawaytotalprediction390507897safe323–458440–573763–1031safer305–476423–591728–1067
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction59.1771.16safe55.14–63.1966.84–75.49safer53.84–64.4965.53–76.80
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2711.6123.88safe9.43–15.108.67–14.5618.10–29.66safer8.67–15.867.92–15.3116.60–31.17
Offsides
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.542.273.81safe0.38–2.701.18–3.361.55–6.06safer0.08–3.000.89–3.650.96–6.65
Yellow cards
43%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.793.78safe0.94–3.040.66–2.921.60–5.96safer0.68–3.310.37–3.211.05–6.52
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.090.21safe0.00–0.280.00–0.280.00–0.56safer0.00–0.430.00–0.410.00–0.84
GK saves
58%
16%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.352.335.68safe1.91–4.790.77–3.882.68–8.67safer1.53–5.170.35–4.311.87–9.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.98 0.01–1.95 0.00–2.20 | 1.83 0.98–2.69 0.75–2.92 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 20% 23% 57% |
| Shots on target | 3.25 1.39–5.12 0.90–5.61 | 5.36 3.62–7.10 3.15–7.57 | 8.62 5.01–12.22 4.06–13.18 | 18% 71% |
| Total shots | 11.35 7.43–15.28 6.33–16.37 | 15.54 11.98–19.10 11.02–20.06 | 26.89 19.40–34.38 17.35–36.43 | 18% 76% |
| Shots in box | 6.46 3.52–9.40 2.69–10.23 | 10.52 7.84–13.20 7.10–13.94 | 16.98 11.35–22.60 9.79–24.17 | 13% 81% |
| Blocked shots | 3.33 1.45–5.21 0.91–5.76 | 4.38 2.72–6.03 2.23–6.52 | 7.71 4.17–11.24 3.14–12.28 | 29% 14% 58% |
| Corners | 4.15 1.93–6.36 1.36–6.93 | 5.71 3.71–7.71 3.17–8.24 | 9.85 5.64–14.07 4.53–15.17 | 25% 63% |
| Possession % | 40.76 33.97–47.55 32.30–49.22 | 58.37 51.58–65.15 49.91–66.82 | — | 14% 84% |
| Passes | 390 323–458 305–476 | 507 440–573 423–591 | 897 763–1031 728–1067 | 16% 83% |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.17 55.14–63.19 53.84–64.49 | 71.16 66.84–75.49 65.53–76.80 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 12.27 9.43–15.10 8.67–15.86 | 11.61 8.67–14.56 7.92–15.31 | 23.88 18.10–29.66 16.60–31.17 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 2.27 1.18–3.36 0.89–3.65 | 3.81 1.55–6.06 0.96–6.65 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.68–3.31 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.78 1.60–5.96 1.05–6.52 | 43% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.35 1.91–4.79 1.53–5.17 | 2.33 0.77–3.88 0.35–4.31 | 5.68 2.68–8.67 1.87–9.48 | 58% 16% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+