Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 28·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.512.99safe0.52–2.450.65–2.361.17–4.82safer0.27–2.700.43–2.590.69–5.30
Shots on target
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.854.859.70safe2.99–6.713.11–6.596.09–13.30safer2.50–7.202.64–7.065.14–14.26
Total shots
54%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9113.8628.77safe10.98–18.8310.30–17.4221.28–36.25safer9.89–19.929.34–18.3819.23–38.30
Shots in box
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction9.649.0218.66safe6.70–12.586.34–11.7013.04–24.28safer5.87–13.415.60–12.4411.47–25.85
Blocked shots
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.223.477.69safe2.34–6.111.81–5.124.16–11.23safer1.80–6.651.32–5.613.12–12.26
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.874.6310.51safe3.66–8.092.63–6.636.29–14.72safer3.09–8.662.10–7.165.19–15.83
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction49.7450.27safe42.95–56.5343.48–57.05safer41.28–58.2041.81–58.73
Passes
48%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction473477949safe405–540410–543816–1083safer387–558393–561780–1119
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction73.1675.24safe69.13–77.1970.91–79.56safer67.84–78.4869.61–80.87
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5711.4423.01safe8.73–14.418.49–14.3817.23–28.79safer7.98–15.167.75–15.1315.72–30.30
Offsides
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.653.37safe0.57–2.890.55–2.741.12–5.63safer0.27–3.190.27–3.030.53–6.22
Yellow cards
39%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.593.22safe0.59–2.680.46–2.711.04–5.40safer0.32–2.950.16–3.010.49–5.96
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.233.116.35safe1.79–4.671.56–4.673.35–9.34safer1.41–5.051.13–5.102.54–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.52–2.45 0.27–2.70 | 1.51 0.65–2.36 0.43–2.59 | 2.99 1.17–4.82 0.69–5.30 | 37% 24% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.85 2.99–6.71 2.50–7.20 | 4.85 3.11–6.59 2.64–7.06 | 9.70 6.09–13.30 5.14–14.26 | 43% 44% |
| Total shots | 14.91 10.98–18.83 9.89–19.92 | 13.86 10.30–17.42 9.34–18.38 | 28.77 21.28–36.25 19.23–38.30 | 54% 39% |
| Shots in box | 9.64 6.70–12.58 5.87–13.41 | 9.02 6.34–11.70 5.60–12.44 | 18.66 13.04–24.28 11.47–25.85 | 51% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 4.22 2.34–6.11 1.80–6.65 | 3.47 1.81–5.12 1.32–5.61 | 7.69 4.16–11.23 3.12–12.26 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Corners | 5.87 3.66–8.09 3.09–8.66 | 4.63 2.63–6.63 2.10–7.16 | 10.51 6.29–14.72 5.19–15.83 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 49.74 42.95–56.53 41.28–58.20 | 50.27 43.48–57.05 41.81–58.73 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 473 405–540 387–558 | 477 410–543 393–561 | 949 816–1083 780–1119 | 48% 51% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.16 69.13–77.19 67.84–78.48 | 75.24 70.91–79.56 69.61–80.87 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 11.57 8.73–14.41 7.98–15.16 | 11.44 8.49–14.38 7.75–15.13 | 23.01 17.23–28.79 15.72–30.30 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 1.65 0.55–2.74 0.27–3.03 | 3.37 1.12–5.63 0.53–6.22 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.68 0.32–2.95 | 1.59 0.46–2.71 0.16–3.01 | 3.22 1.04–5.40 0.49–5.96 | 39% 23% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.23 1.79–4.67 1.41–5.05 | 3.11 1.56–4.67 1.13–5.10 | 6.35 3.35–9.34 2.54–10.15 | 44% 16% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.