Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 28·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.623.08safe0.49–2.420.77–2.481.26–4.90safer0.24–2.680.54–2.710.78–5.38
Shots on target
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.954.599.54safe3.09–6.812.85–6.335.94–13.15safer2.60–7.302.38–6.804.98–14.10
Total shots
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7512.8626.61safe9.82–17.679.30–16.4219.12–34.10safer8.73–18.768.34–17.3817.07–36.15
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.998.6517.65safe6.05–11.945.97–11.3312.02–23.27safer5.22–12.765.24–12.0710.46–24.84
Blocked shots
46%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.773.557.32safe1.88–5.651.90–5.203.78–10.85safer1.34–6.191.41–5.702.75–11.89
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.484.8710.35safe3.26–7.692.87–6.876.14–14.57safer2.69–8.262.34–7.415.03–15.67
Possession %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction50.9147.78safe44.12–57.7040.99–54.56safer42.45–59.3739.32–56.23
Passes
59%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction448419867safe381–515353–486733–1001safer363–533335–503698–1036
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction66.5768.97safe62.54–70.6064.64–73.29safer61.25–71.8963.33–74.60
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9313.2924.22safe8.09–13.7610.35–16.2418.44–30.00safer7.33–14.529.60–16.9916.93–31.51
Offsides
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.853.65safe0.64–2.960.76–2.941.39–5.90safer0.34–3.260.47–3.230.81–6.49
Yellow cards
26%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.412.043.45safe0.36–2.450.91–3.171.27–5.63safer0.09–2.720.62–3.460.71–6.18
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.063.406.46safe1.63–4.501.84–4.953.47–9.45safer1.24–4.891.42–5.382.65–10.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.42 0.24–2.68 | 1.62 0.77–2.48 0.54–2.71 | 3.08 1.26–4.90 0.78–5.38 | 34% 24% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.95 3.09–6.81 2.60–7.30 | 4.59 2.85–6.33 2.38–6.80 | 9.54 5.94–13.15 4.98–14.10 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Total shots | 13.75 9.82–17.67 8.73–18.76 | 12.86 9.30–16.42 8.34–17.38 | 26.61 19.12–34.10 17.07–36.15 | 53% 39% |
| Shots in box | 8.99 6.05–11.94 5.22–12.76 | 8.65 5.97–11.33 5.24–12.07 | 17.65 12.02–23.27 10.46–24.84 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.77 1.88–5.65 1.34–6.19 | 3.55 1.90–5.20 1.41–5.70 | 7.32 3.78–10.85 2.75–11.89 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 5.48 3.26–7.69 2.69–8.26 | 4.87 2.87–6.87 2.34–7.41 | 10.35 6.14–14.57 5.03–15.67 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 50.91 44.12–57.70 42.45–59.37 | 47.78 40.99–54.56 39.32–56.23 | — | 55% 40% |
| Passes | 448 381–515 363–533 | 419 353–486 335–503 | 867 733–1001 698–1036 | 59% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.57 62.54–70.60 61.25–71.89 | 68.97 64.64–73.29 63.33–74.60 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 10.93 8.09–13.76 7.33–14.52 | 13.29 10.35–16.24 9.60–16.99 | 24.22 18.44–30.00 16.93–31.51 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.26 | 1.85 0.76–2.94 0.47–3.23 | 3.65 1.39–5.90 0.81–6.49 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.36–2.45 0.09–2.72 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.45 1.27–5.63 0.71–6.18 | 26% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.06 1.63–4.50 1.24–4.89 | 3.40 1.84–4.95 1.42–5.38 | 6.46 3.47–9.45 2.65–10.26 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+