Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 29·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
25%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.532.68safe0.18–2.120.68–2.390.86–4.50safer0.00–2.370.45–2.610.38–4.98
Shots on target
32%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.064.959.01safe2.20–5.933.20–6.695.41–12.62safer1.71–6.422.74–7.154.45–13.57
Total shots
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6114.5527.17safe8.69–16.5410.99–18.1219.68–34.65safer7.60–17.6310.03–19.0817.63–36.70
Shots in box
23%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction7.269.8317.09safe4.31–10.207.15–12.5111.46–22.71safer3.48–11.036.41–13.259.90–24.28
Blocked shots
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.263.466.72safe1.38–5.151.81–5.113.19–10.26safer0.84–5.691.31–5.602.15–11.29
Corners
33%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.665.5110.17safe2.45–6.873.51–7.515.96–14.39safer1.87–7.452.98–8.054.85–15.49
Possession %
38%
58%
homeawayprediction48.1752.53safe41.38–54.9645.74–59.31safer39.71–56.6344.07–60.98
Passes
46%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction449459908safe382–516393–526774–1042safer363–534375–543739–1077
Pass accuracy %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction64.9771.60safe60.94–69.0067.28–75.93safer59.65–70.2965.97–77.24
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8911.5823.47safe9.06–14.738.63–14.5217.69–29.25safer8.30–15.497.89–15.2716.19–30.76
Offsides
44%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.181.974.14safe1.02–3.340.87–3.061.89–6.40safer0.72–3.640.59–3.351.30–6.99
Yellow cards
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.873.81safe0.89–2.990.74–3.001.63–5.98safer0.63–3.260.45–3.291.07–6.54
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
48%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.262.856.11safe1.82–4.701.29–4.403.12–9.10safer1.44–5.080.87–4.832.30–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 1.53 0.68–2.39 0.45–2.61 | 2.68 0.86–4.50 0.38–4.98 | 28% 25% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.06 2.20–5.93 1.71–6.42 | 4.95 3.20–6.69 2.74–7.15 | 9.01 5.41–12.62 4.45–13.57 | 32% 55% |
| Total shots | 12.61 8.69–16.54 7.60–17.63 | 14.55 10.99–18.12 10.03–19.08 | 27.17 19.68–34.65 17.63–36.70 | 32% 61% |
| Shots in box | 7.26 4.31–10.20 3.48–11.03 | 9.83 7.15–12.51 6.41–13.25 | 17.09 11.46–22.71 9.90–24.28 | 23% 69% |
| Blocked shots | 3.26 1.38–5.15 0.84–5.69 | 3.46 1.81–5.11 1.31–5.60 | 6.72 3.19–10.26 2.15–11.29 | 39% 16% 45% |
| Corners | 4.66 2.45–6.87 1.87–7.45 | 5.51 3.51–7.51 2.98–8.05 | 10.17 5.96–14.39 4.85–15.49 | 33% 54% |
| Possession % | 48.17 41.38–54.96 39.71–56.63 | 52.53 45.74–59.31 44.07–60.98 | — | 38% 58% |
| Passes | 449 382–516 363–534 | 459 393–526 375–543 | 908 774–1042 739–1077 | 46% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.97 60.94–69.00 59.65–70.29 | 71.60 67.28–75.93 65.97–77.24 | — | 18% 79% |
| Fouls | 11.89 9.06–14.73 8.30–15.49 | 11.58 8.63–14.52 7.89–15.27 | 23.47 17.69–29.25 16.19–30.76 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 2.18 1.02–3.34 0.72–3.64 | 1.97 0.87–3.06 0.59–3.35 | 4.14 1.89–6.40 1.30–6.99 | 44% 20% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.63–3.26 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.81 1.63–5.98 1.07–6.54 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.26 1.82–4.70 1.44–5.08 | 2.85 1.29–4.40 0.87–4.83 | 6.11 3.12–9.10 2.30–9.91 | 48% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.