Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 29·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
27%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.122.48safe0.38–2.320.27–1.980.65–4.30safer0.13–2.570.04–2.210.17–4.78
Shots on target
53%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.553.858.40safe2.69–6.412.11–5.604.80–12.01safer2.20–6.901.65–6.063.84–12.96
Total shots
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6812.0025.68safe9.76–17.618.44–15.5618.20–33.17safer8.67–18.707.48–16.5216.15–35.22
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction9.207.5716.77safe6.25–12.144.89–10.2511.15–22.39safer5.43–12.974.15–10.999.58–23.96
Blocked shots
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.363.186.53safe1.48–5.241.52–4.833.00–10.07safer0.93–5.781.03–5.321.96–11.11
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.444.399.84safe3.23–7.662.39–6.395.62–14.05safer2.65–8.231.86–6.934.52–15.16
Possession %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction46.4453.93safe39.65–53.2347.15–60.72safer37.98–54.9045.48–62.39
Passes
29%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction396462858safe328–463396–529724–992safer310–481378–546689–1027
Pass accuracy %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction61.7869.46safe57.75–65.8165.14–73.78safer56.45–67.1063.83–75.09
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8212.9825.79safe9.98–15.6510.03–15.9220.01–31.57safer9.22–16.419.28–16.6718.50–33.08
Offsides
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.613.48safe0.72–3.040.51–2.701.23–5.74safer0.42–3.340.22–2.990.64–6.33
Yellow cards
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.933.73safe0.75–2.840.80–3.061.55–5.91safer0.48–3.110.51–3.350.99–6.46
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
32%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.195.75safe1.13–4.001.63–4.742.76–8.74safer0.74–4.391.21–5.171.94–9.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.12 0.27–1.98 0.04–2.21 | 2.48 0.65–4.30 0.17–4.78 | 42% 27% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.55 2.69–6.41 2.20–6.90 | 3.85 2.11–5.60 1.65–6.06 | 8.40 4.80–12.01 3.84–12.96 | 53% 14% 34% |
| Total shots | 13.68 9.76–17.61 8.67–18.70 | 12.00 8.44–15.56 7.48–16.52 | 25.68 18.20–33.17 16.15–35.22 | 59% 33% |
| Shots in box | 9.20 6.25–12.14 5.43–12.97 | 7.57 4.89–10.25 4.15–10.99 | 16.77 11.15–22.39 9.58–23.96 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.36 1.48–5.24 0.93–5.78 | 3.18 1.52–4.83 1.03–5.32 | 6.53 3.00–10.07 1.96–11.11 | 45% 16% 39% |
| Corners | 5.44 3.23–7.66 2.65–8.23 | 4.39 2.39–6.39 1.86–6.93 | 9.84 5.62–14.05 4.52–15.16 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 46.44 39.65–53.23 37.98–54.90 | 53.93 47.15–60.72 45.48–62.39 | — | 31% 65% |
| Passes | 396 328–463 310–481 | 462 396–529 378–546 | 858 724–992 689–1027 | 29% 71% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.78 57.75–65.81 56.45–67.10 | 69.46 65.14–73.78 63.83–75.09 | — | 15% 82% |
| Fouls | 12.82 9.98–15.65 9.22–16.41 | 12.98 10.03–15.92 9.28–16.67 | 25.79 20.01–31.57 18.50–33.08 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.61 0.51–2.70 0.22–2.99 | 3.48 1.23–5.74 0.64–6.33 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.84 0.48–3.11 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.73 1.55–5.91 0.99–6.46 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.13–4.00 0.74–4.39 | 3.19 1.63–4.74 1.21–5.17 | 5.75 2.76–8.74 1.94–9.55 | 32% 17% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+