Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 29·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.282.87safe0.62–2.560.43–2.141.05–4.69safer0.37–2.810.20–2.370.57–5.17
Shots on target
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.014.479.49safe3.15–6.882.73–6.225.88–13.09safer2.66–7.372.27–6.684.93–14.05
Total shots
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9412.3326.27safe10.02–17.878.76–15.8918.78–33.76safer8.93–18.967.80–16.8516.73–35.81
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction9.257.8017.05safe6.31–12.195.12–10.4811.43–22.68safer5.48–13.024.38–11.229.86–24.24
Blocked shots
35%
14%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.584.147.71safe1.70–5.462.48–5.794.18–11.25safer1.15–6.001.99–6.283.14–12.28
Corners
46%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.674.469.13safe2.45–6.882.46–6.464.92–13.34safer1.88–7.461.93–7.003.81–14.45
Possession %
38%
58%
homeawayprediction47.9952.29safe41.20–54.7845.50–59.07safer39.53–56.4543.83–60.74
Passes
50%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction458458916safe390–525392–525782–1049safer372–543374–542746–1085
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction68.2375.01safe64.20–72.2670.68–79.33safer62.91–73.5569.38–80.64
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9514.1726.12safe9.11–14.7911.22–17.1120.34–31.90safer8.36–15.5410.47–17.8618.83–33.40
Offsides
70%
14%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction3.471.745.21safe2.31–4.630.65–2.832.96–7.46safer2.01–4.930.36–3.122.37–8.05
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.133.77safe0.59–2.691.00–3.261.59–5.95safer0.32–2.960.71–3.551.03–6.51
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
36%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.883.226.10safe1.44–4.321.66–4.783.11–9.09safer1.06–4.701.24–5.202.30–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.56 0.37–2.81 | 1.28 0.43–2.14 0.20–2.37 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.01 3.15–6.88 2.66–7.37 | 4.47 2.73–6.22 2.27–6.68 | 9.49 5.88–13.09 4.93–14.05 | 50% 37% |
| Total shots | 13.94 10.02–17.87 8.93–18.96 | 12.33 8.76–15.89 7.80–16.85 | 26.27 18.78–33.76 16.73–35.81 | 59% 34% |
| Shots in box | 9.25 6.31–12.19 5.48–13.02 | 7.80 5.12–10.48 4.38–11.22 | 17.05 11.43–22.68 9.86–24.24 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.58 1.70–5.46 1.15–6.00 | 4.14 2.48–5.79 1.99–6.28 | 7.71 4.18–11.25 3.14–12.28 | 35% 14% 51% |
| Corners | 4.67 2.45–6.88 1.88–7.46 | 4.46 2.46–6.46 1.93–7.00 | 9.13 4.92–13.34 3.81–14.45 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Possession % | 47.99 41.20–54.78 39.53–56.45 | 52.29 45.50–59.07 43.83–60.74 | — | 38% 58% |
| Passes | 458 390–525 372–543 | 458 392–525 374–542 | 916 782–1049 746–1085 | 50% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.23 64.20–72.26 62.91–73.55 | 75.01 70.68–79.33 69.38–80.64 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 11.95 9.11–14.79 8.36–15.54 | 14.17 11.22–17.11 10.47–17.86 | 26.12 20.34–31.90 18.83–33.40 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 3.47 2.31–4.63 2.01–4.93 | 1.74 0.65–2.83 0.36–3.12 | 5.21 2.96–7.46 2.37–8.05 | 70% 14% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.32–2.96 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.77 1.59–5.95 1.03–6.51 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.88 1.44–4.32 1.06–4.70 | 3.22 1.66–4.78 1.24–5.20 | 6.10 3.11–9.09 2.30–9.90 | 36% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.