Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 29·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
26%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.500.982.49safe0.54–2.470.13–1.840.66–4.31safer0.28–2.720.00–2.070.18–4.79
Shots on target
61%
13%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.593.317.90safe2.73–6.451.57–5.064.30–11.51safer2.24–6.941.10–5.523.34–12.46
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5910.6224.21safe9.66–17.517.06–14.1816.72–31.69safer8.57–18.606.10–15.1414.67–33.74
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction9.466.7716.24safe6.52–12.414.09–9.4510.61–21.86safer5.69–13.243.35–10.199.05–23.43
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.743.307.04safe1.86–5.621.65–4.953.50–10.57safer1.31–6.171.15–5.442.47–11.61
Corners
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.194.1610.35safe3.98–8.412.16–6.166.14–14.57safer3.41–8.981.63–6.695.03–15.68
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.5244.94safe47.73–61.3138.15–51.72safer46.06–62.9836.48–53.39
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction488395883safe420–555329–462749–1017safer402–573311–479714–1052
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction65.2367.00safe61.20–69.2662.67–71.32safer59.91–70.5661.36–72.63
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3513.3824.73safe8.51–14.1910.43–16.3218.94–30.51safer7.76–14.949.68–17.0717.44–32.01
Offsides
53%
21%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.131.443.56safe0.97–3.290.34–2.531.31–5.82safer0.66–3.590.06–2.820.72–6.41
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.502.093.59safe0.45–2.550.96–3.221.41–5.77safer0.19–2.820.67–3.510.85–6.33
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.483.025.50safe1.04–3.921.46–4.582.51–8.49safer0.66–4.301.04–5.001.70–9.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.54–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 0.98 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.49 0.66–4.31 0.18–4.79 | 49% 26% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.59 2.73–6.45 2.24–6.94 | 3.31 1.57–5.06 1.10–5.52 | 7.90 4.30–11.51 3.34–12.46 | 61% 13% 26% |
| Total shots | 13.59 9.66–17.51 8.57–18.60 | 10.62 7.06–14.18 6.10–15.14 | 24.21 16.72–31.69 14.67–33.74 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 9.46 6.52–12.41 5.69–13.24 | 6.77 4.09–9.45 3.35–10.19 | 16.24 10.61–21.86 9.05–23.43 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 3.74 1.86–5.62 1.31–6.17 | 3.30 1.65–4.95 1.15–5.44 | 7.04 3.50–10.57 2.47–11.61 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 6.19 3.98–8.41 3.41–8.98 | 4.16 2.16–6.16 1.63–6.69 | 10.35 6.14–14.57 5.03–15.68 | 68% 21% |
| Possession % | 54.52 47.73–61.31 46.06–62.98 | 44.94 38.15–51.72 36.48–53.39 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 488 420–555 402–573 | 395 329–462 311–479 | 883 749–1017 714–1052 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.23 61.20–69.26 59.91–70.56 | 67.00 62.67–71.32 61.36–72.63 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 11.35 8.51–14.19 7.76–14.94 | 13.38 10.43–16.32 9.68–17.07 | 24.73 18.94–30.51 17.44–32.01 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 2.13 0.97–3.29 0.66–3.59 | 1.44 0.34–2.53 0.06–2.82 | 3.56 1.31–5.82 0.72–6.41 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.19–2.82 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.59 1.41–5.77 0.85–6.33 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.04–3.92 0.66–4.30 | 3.02 1.46–4.58 1.04–5.00 | 5.50 2.51–8.49 1.70–9.30 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.