Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 29·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
26%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.272.72safe0.48–2.420.42–2.130.90–4.54safer0.23–2.670.19–2.350.42–5.02
Shots on target
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.434.258.68safe2.57–6.292.51–5.995.07–12.28safer2.08–6.782.04–6.464.12–13.24
Total shots
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8212.5225.35safe8.90–16.758.96–16.0917.86–32.83safer7.81–17.848.00–17.0415.81–34.88
Shots in box
39%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction8.108.7116.81safe5.16–11.056.03–11.3911.19–22.43safer4.33–11.875.29–12.139.62–24.00
Blocked shots
37%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.363.727.08safe1.48–5.252.06–5.373.54–10.62safer0.94–5.791.57–5.862.51–11.65
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.514.7010.21safe3.30–7.732.70–6.706.00–14.43safer2.73–8.302.16–7.234.89–15.53
Possession %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction53.9247.70safe47.13–60.7140.92–54.48safer45.46–62.3839.24–56.16
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction497403899safe429–564336–469766–1033safer411–582319–487730–1069
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction65.2667.10safe61.23–69.2962.78–71.43safer59.94–70.5861.47–72.74
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3212.9623.28safe7.48–13.1610.02–15.9117.50–29.07safer6.73–13.919.27–16.6616.00–30.57
Offsides
59%
18%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.681.664.34safe1.52–3.840.56–2.752.08–6.59safer1.22–4.140.28–3.041.49–7.18
Yellow cards
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.093.65safe0.51–2.610.96–3.221.47–5.83safer0.25–2.880.67–3.510.92–6.39
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.130.20safe0.00–0.230.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.380.00–0.450.00–0.83
GK saves
40%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.792.865.65safe1.35–4.221.30–4.422.66–8.64safer0.96–4.610.88–4.841.84–9.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 0.48–2.42 0.23–2.67 | 1.27 0.42–2.13 0.19–2.35 | 2.72 0.90–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.43 2.57–6.29 2.08–6.78 | 4.25 2.51–5.99 2.04–6.46 | 8.68 5.07–12.28 4.12–13.24 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total shots | 12.82 8.90–16.75 7.81–17.84 | 12.52 8.96–16.09 8.00–17.04 | 25.35 17.86–32.83 15.81–34.88 | 48% 44% |
| Shots in box | 8.10 5.16–11.05 4.33–11.87 | 8.71 6.03–11.39 5.29–12.13 | 16.81 11.19–22.43 9.62–24.00 | 39% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.36 1.48–5.25 0.94–5.79 | 3.72 2.06–5.37 1.57–5.86 | 7.08 3.54–10.62 2.51–11.65 | 37% 15% 48% |
| Corners | 5.51 3.30–7.73 2.73–8.30 | 4.70 2.70–6.70 2.16–7.23 | 10.21 6.00–14.43 4.89–15.53 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 53.92 47.13–60.71 45.46–62.38 | 47.70 40.92–54.48 39.24–56.16 | — | 62% 33% |
| Passes | 497 429–564 411–582 | 403 336–469 319–487 | 899 766–1033 730–1069 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.26 61.23–69.29 59.94–70.58 | 67.10 62.78–71.43 61.47–72.74 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 10.32 7.48–13.16 6.73–13.91 | 12.96 10.02–15.91 9.27–16.66 | 23.28 17.50–29.07 16.00–30.57 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 2.68 1.52–3.84 1.22–4.14 | 1.66 0.56–2.75 0.28–3.04 | 4.34 2.08–6.59 1.49–7.18 | 59% 18% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.25–2.88 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.65 1.47–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 2.86 1.30–4.42 0.88–4.84 | 5.65 2.66–8.64 1.84–9.45 | 40% 17% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.