Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
25%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.572.71safe0.17–2.110.71–2.420.88–4.53safer0.00–2.360.48–2.650.41–5.01
Shots on target
31%
13%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.874.808.67safe2.01–5.743.05–6.545.06–12.27safer1.52–6.222.59–7.004.11–13.23
Total shots
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5314.2326.76safe8.60–16.4510.67–17.8019.27–34.25safer7.51–17.559.71–18.7517.22–36.30
Shots in box
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction7.489.6817.16safe4.53–10.427.00–12.3611.54–22.78safer3.71–11.256.26–13.109.97–24.35
Blocked shots
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.034.338.37safe2.15–5.912.68–5.994.83–11.90safer1.61–6.462.19–6.483.79–12.94
Corners
33%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.695.5410.23safe2.47–6.903.54–7.546.01–14.44safer1.90–7.473.01–8.074.91–15.55
Possession %
43%
53%
homeawayprediction49.1151.27safe42.32–55.9044.48–58.05safer40.65–57.5742.81–59.73
Passes
54%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction445433878safe378–512367–499744–1012safer360–530349–517709–1047
Pass accuracy %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction62.7769.39safe58.74–66.8065.07–73.71safer57.44–68.0963.76–75.02
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8810.5922.47safe9.04–14.727.65–13.5316.69–28.25safer8.29–15.476.90–14.2815.18–29.76
Offsides
28%
23%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.813.13safe0.16–2.480.71–2.900.87–5.38safer0.00–2.780.42–3.190.28–5.97
Yellow cards
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.753.56safe0.77–2.870.62–2.881.39–5.74safer0.50–3.130.33–3.170.83–6.30
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
54%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.272.515.77safe1.83–4.700.95–4.062.78–8.77safer1.44–5.090.53–4.491.97–9.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.17–2.11 0.00–2.36 | 1.57 0.71–2.42 0.48–2.65 | 2.71 0.88–4.53 0.41–5.01 | 28% 25% 47% |
| Shots on target | 3.87 2.01–5.74 1.52–6.22 | 4.80 3.05–6.54 2.59–7.00 | 8.67 5.06–12.27 4.11–13.23 | 31% 13% 56% |
| Total shots | 12.53 8.60–16.45 7.51–17.55 | 14.23 10.67–17.80 9.71–18.75 | 26.76 19.27–34.25 17.22–36.30 | 33% 59% |
| Shots in box | 7.48 4.53–10.42 3.71–11.25 | 9.68 7.00–12.36 6.26–13.10 | 17.16 11.54–22.78 9.97–24.35 | 26% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 4.03 2.15–5.91 1.61–6.46 | 4.33 2.68–5.99 2.19–6.48 | 8.37 4.83–11.90 3.79–12.94 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Corners | 4.69 2.47–6.90 1.90–7.47 | 5.54 3.54–7.54 3.01–8.07 | 10.23 6.01–14.44 4.91–15.55 | 33% 54% |
| Possession % | 49.11 42.32–55.90 40.65–57.57 | 51.27 44.48–58.05 42.81–59.73 | — | 43% 53% |
| Passes | 445 378–512 360–530 | 433 367–499 349–517 | 878 744–1012 709–1047 | 54% 46% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.77 58.74–66.80 57.44–68.09 | 69.39 65.07–73.71 63.76–75.02 | — | 18% 79% |
| Fouls | 11.88 9.04–14.72 8.29–15.47 | 10.59 7.65–13.53 6.90–14.28 | 22.47 16.69–28.25 15.18–29.76 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.32 0.16–2.48 0.00–2.78 | 1.81 0.71–2.90 0.42–3.19 | 3.13 0.87–5.38 0.28–5.97 | 28% 23% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.50–3.13 | 1.75 0.62–2.88 0.33–3.17 | 3.56 1.39–5.74 0.83–6.30 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.27 1.83–4.70 1.44–5.09 | 2.51 0.95–4.06 0.53–4.49 | 5.77 2.78–8.77 1.97–9.58 | 54% 16% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.