Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 30·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
23%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.203.06safe0.89–2.830.34–2.051.24–4.88safer0.64–3.080.11–2.280.76–5.36
Shots on target
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.774.159.91safe3.91–7.632.40–5.896.31–13.52safer3.42–8.121.94–6.355.35–14.48
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction16.8212.1228.94safe12.90–20.758.56–15.6921.46–36.43safer11.81–21.847.60–16.6519.41–38.48
Shots in box
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction11.098.5719.66safe8.15–14.035.89–11.2514.04–25.28safer7.32–14.865.15–11.9912.47–26.85
Blocked shots
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.053.498.54safe3.17–6.941.83–5.145.00–12.07safer2.63–7.481.34–5.633.97–13.11
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.273.9310.20safe4.06–8.491.93–5.935.99–14.42safer3.49–9.061.40–6.464.88–15.52
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction58.6941.77safe51.90–65.4834.98–48.55safer50.23–67.1533.31–50.22
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction576377953safe509–644310–443820–1087safer491–662293–461784–1123
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction73.7668.70safe69.73–77.7964.37–73.02safer68.43–79.0863.06–74.33
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4511.8822.33safe7.61–13.298.93–14.8216.55–28.11safer6.86–14.058.18–15.5715.04–29.62
Offsides
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.522.013.53safe0.36–2.680.91–3.101.27–5.78safer0.06–2.980.62–3.390.68–6.37
Yellow cards
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.452.083.53safe0.40–2.500.95–3.211.35–5.71safer0.14–2.770.66–3.500.80–6.27
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
30%
15%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.903.726.62safe1.47–4.342.16–5.283.63–9.61safer1.08–4.731.74–5.702.82–10.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.86 0.89–2.83 0.64–3.08 | 1.20 0.34–2.05 0.11–2.28 | 3.06 1.24–4.88 0.76–5.36 | 53% 23% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.77 3.91–7.63 3.42–8.12 | 4.15 2.40–5.89 1.94–6.35 | 9.91 6.31–13.52 5.35–14.48 | 64% 25% |
| Total shots | 16.82 12.90–20.75 11.81–21.84 | 12.12 8.56–15.69 7.60–16.65 | 28.94 21.46–36.43 19.41–38.48 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 11.09 8.15–14.03 7.32–14.86 | 8.57 5.89–11.25 5.15–11.99 | 19.66 14.04–25.28 12.47–26.85 | 68% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 5.05 3.17–6.94 2.63–7.48 | 3.49 1.83–5.14 1.34–5.63 | 8.54 5.00–12.07 3.97–13.11 | 64% 24% |
| Corners | 6.27 4.06–8.49 3.49–9.06 | 3.93 1.93–5.93 1.40–6.46 | 10.20 5.99–14.42 4.88–15.52 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 58.69 51.90–65.48 50.23–67.15 | 41.77 34.98–48.55 33.31–50.22 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 576 509–644 491–662 | 377 310–443 293–461 | 953 820–1087 784–1123 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.76 69.73–77.79 68.43–79.08 | 68.70 64.37–73.02 63.06–74.33 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 10.45 7.61–13.29 6.86–14.05 | 11.88 8.93–14.82 8.18–15.57 | 22.33 16.55–28.11 15.04–29.62 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 2.01 0.91–3.10 0.62–3.39 | 3.53 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.40–2.50 0.14–2.77 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 3.53 1.35–5.71 0.80–6.27 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.90 1.47–4.34 1.08–4.73 | 3.72 2.16–5.28 1.74–5.70 | 6.62 3.63–9.61 2.82–10.43 | 30% 15% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.