Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.402.96safe0.59–2.530.55–2.261.14–4.78safer0.34–2.780.32–2.490.66–5.26
Shots on target
45%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.974.829.79safe3.11–6.833.08–6.566.19–13.40safer2.62–7.322.61–7.035.23–14.35
Total shots
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2313.6328.87safe11.31–19.1610.07–17.2021.38–36.35safer10.22–20.259.11–18.1619.33–38.40
Shots in box
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction9.249.1618.39safe6.29–12.186.48–11.8412.77–24.02safer5.46–13.015.74–12.5811.20–25.58
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.043.577.61safe2.16–5.931.91–5.224.08–11.15safer1.62–6.471.42–5.713.04–12.18
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.594.5610.16safe3.38–7.812.56–6.565.94–14.37safer2.81–8.382.03–7.104.84–15.48
Possession %
53%
43%
homeawayprediction51.8549.79safe45.06–58.6443.00–56.57safer43.39–60.3141.33–58.24
Passes
61%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction492459951safe424–559392–525817–1084safer406–577375–543781–1120
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction70.5374.24safe66.50–74.5669.92–78.57safer65.21–75.8568.61–79.88
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2211.3522.57safe8.38–14.068.40–14.2916.79–28.35safer7.63–14.817.66–15.0415.28–29.86
Offsides
42%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.673.50safe0.67–2.990.57–2.761.25–5.75safer0.37–3.290.29–3.050.66–6.34
Yellow cards
29%
23%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.843.23safe0.34–2.440.71–2.971.06–5.41safer0.08–2.710.42–3.260.50–5.97
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.983.176.15safe1.55–4.421.61–4.733.16–9.15safer1.16–4.811.19–5.152.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.59–2.53 0.34–2.78 | 1.40 0.55–2.26 0.32–2.49 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 41% 24% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.97 3.11–6.83 2.62–7.32 | 4.82 3.08–6.56 2.61–7.03 | 9.79 6.19–13.40 5.23–14.35 | 45% 42% |
| Total shots | 15.23 11.31–19.16 10.22–20.25 | 13.63 10.07–17.20 9.11–18.16 | 28.87 21.38–36.35 19.33–38.40 | 58% 35% |
| Shots in box | 9.24 6.29–12.18 5.46–13.01 | 9.16 6.48–11.84 5.74–12.58 | 18.39 12.77–24.02 11.20–25.58 | 46% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 4.04 2.16–5.93 1.62–6.47 | 3.57 1.91–5.22 1.42–5.71 | 7.61 4.08–11.15 3.04–12.18 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.59 3.38–7.81 2.81–8.38 | 4.56 2.56–6.56 2.03–7.10 | 10.16 5.94–14.37 4.84–15.48 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 51.85 45.06–58.64 43.39–60.31 | 49.79 43.00–56.57 41.33–58.24 | — | 53% 43% |
| Passes | 492 424–559 406–577 | 459 392–525 375–543 | 951 817–1084 781–1120 | 61% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.53 66.50–74.56 65.21–75.85 | 74.24 69.92–78.57 68.61–79.88 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 11.22 8.38–14.06 7.63–14.81 | 11.35 8.40–14.29 7.66–15.04 | 22.57 16.79–28.35 15.28–29.86 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 1.67 0.57–2.76 0.29–3.05 | 3.50 1.25–5.75 0.66–6.34 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.34–2.44 0.08–2.71 | 1.84 0.71–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 3.23 1.06–5.41 0.50–5.97 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.98 1.55–4.42 1.16–4.81 | 3.17 1.61–4.73 1.19–5.15 | 6.15 3.16–9.15 2.35–9.96 | 39% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.