Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 30·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
22%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.933.11safe0.22–2.151.07–2.781.29–4.94safer0.00–2.400.85–3.010.81–5.42
Shots on target
25%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction4.135.689.82safe2.27–5.993.94–7.436.21–13.42safer1.78–6.483.48–7.895.26–14.38
Total shots
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8115.1127.92safe8.89–16.7411.54–18.6720.43–35.41safer7.80–17.8310.58–19.6318.38–37.46
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction8.269.8118.07safe5.32–11.217.13–12.4912.45–23.70safer4.49–12.046.39–13.2310.88–25.26
Blocked shots
29%
14%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.224.217.43safe1.33–5.102.56–5.863.89–10.96safer0.79–5.642.06–6.352.85–12.00
Corners
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.695.4210.11safe2.48–6.903.42–7.425.89–14.32safer1.90–7.482.88–7.954.78–15.43
Possession %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction46.5454.25safe39.75–53.3347.47–61.04safer38.08–55.0045.80–62.71
Passes
34%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction403452855safe335–470386–519721–989safer317–488368–536686–1024
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction61.9570.81safe57.92–65.9866.48–75.13safer56.63–67.2765.17–76.44
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1012.3224.42safe9.27–14.949.37–15.2618.64–30.20safer8.51–15.708.63–16.0117.14–31.71
Offsides
42%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.763.65safe0.72–3.050.67–2.861.39–5.90safer0.42–3.350.38–3.140.80–6.49
Yellow cards
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.813.61safe0.75–2.850.68–2.931.43–5.79safer0.49–3.120.39–3.230.87–6.34
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
56%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.732.866.59safe2.30–5.171.30–4.423.60–9.58safer1.91–5.560.88–4.842.79–10.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.19 0.22–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 1.93 1.07–2.78 0.85–3.01 | 3.11 1.29–4.94 0.81–5.42 | 23% 22% 55% |
| Shots on target | 4.13 2.27–5.99 1.78–6.48 | 5.68 3.94–7.43 3.48–7.89 | 9.82 6.21–13.42 5.26–14.38 | 25% 63% |
| Total shots | 12.81 8.89–16.74 7.80–17.83 | 15.11 11.54–18.67 10.58–19.63 | 27.92 20.43–35.41 18.38–37.46 | 30% 63% |
| Shots in box | 8.26 5.32–11.21 4.49–12.04 | 9.81 7.13–12.49 6.39–13.23 | 18.07 12.45–23.70 10.88–25.26 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.22 1.33–5.10 0.79–5.64 | 4.21 2.56–5.86 2.06–6.35 | 7.43 3.89–10.96 2.85–12.00 | 29% 14% 57% |
| Corners | 4.69 2.48–6.90 1.90–7.48 | 5.42 3.42–7.42 2.88–7.95 | 10.11 5.89–14.32 4.78–15.43 | 35% 53% |
| Possession % | 46.54 39.75–53.33 38.08–55.00 | 54.25 47.47–61.04 45.80–62.71 | — | 30% 65% |
| Passes | 403 335–470 317–488 | 452 386–519 368–536 | 855 721–989 686–1024 | 34% 66% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.95 57.92–65.98 56.63–67.27 | 70.81 66.48–75.13 65.17–76.44 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 12.10 9.27–14.94 8.51–15.70 | 12.32 9.37–15.26 8.63–16.01 | 24.42 18.64–30.20 17.14–31.71 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.72–3.05 0.42–3.35 | 1.76 0.67–2.86 0.38–3.14 | 3.65 1.39–5.90 0.80–6.49 | 42% 22% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.49–3.12 | 1.81 0.68–2.93 0.39–3.23 | 3.61 1.43–5.79 0.87–6.34 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.73 2.30–5.17 1.91–5.56 | 2.86 1.30–4.42 0.88–4.84 | 6.59 3.60–9.58 2.79–10.40 | 56% 15% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+