Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 30·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.122.79safe0.70–2.640.27–1.980.97–4.61safer0.45–2.890.04–2.200.49–5.09
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.133.788.91safe3.27–6.992.03–5.525.30–12.51safer2.78–7.481.57–5.984.35–13.47
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3210.9726.28safe11.39–19.247.40–14.5318.80–33.77safer10.30–20.336.44–15.4916.74–35.82
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction10.336.5916.92safe7.39–13.273.91–9.2711.30–22.54safer6.56–14.103.17–10.019.73–24.11
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.953.527.47safe2.07–5.841.86–5.173.93–11.00safer1.53–6.381.37–5.662.90–12.04
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.424.289.70safe3.21–7.642.28–6.285.49–13.92safer2.64–8.211.75–6.814.38–15.03
Possession %
39%
57%
homeawayprediction48.3152.09safe41.52–55.1045.30–58.87safer39.85–56.7743.63–60.54
Passes
38%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction438476914safe371–505409–542780–1048safer353–524392–560745–1083
Pass accuracy %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction63.6270.57safe59.59–67.6566.24–74.89safer58.30–68.9464.93–76.20
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3311.1823.52safe9.50–15.178.24–14.1317.74–29.30safer8.74–15.937.49–14.8816.23–30.80
Offsides
25%
18%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.564.24safe0.52–2.841.47–3.661.99–6.50safer0.22–3.141.18–3.941.40–7.08
Yellow cards
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.773.62safe0.81–2.910.64–2.891.44–5.80safer0.54–3.170.35–3.190.89–6.36
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
26%
16%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.373.415.78safe0.93–3.801.86–4.972.79–8.77safer0.54–4.191.43–5.391.98–9.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.70–2.64 0.45–2.89 | 1.12 0.27–1.98 0.04–2.20 | 2.79 0.97–4.61 0.49–5.09 | 50% 24% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.13 3.27–6.99 2.78–7.48 | 3.78 2.03–5.52 1.57–5.98 | 8.91 5.30–12.51 4.35–13.47 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 15.32 11.39–19.24 10.30–20.33 | 10.97 7.40–14.53 6.44–15.49 | 26.28 18.80–33.77 16.74–35.82 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 10.33 7.39–13.27 6.56–14.10 | 6.59 3.91–9.27 3.17–10.01 | 16.92 11.30–22.54 9.73–24.11 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 3.95 2.07–5.84 1.53–6.38 | 3.52 1.86–5.17 1.37–5.66 | 7.47 3.93–11.00 2.90–12.04 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.42 3.21–7.64 2.64–8.21 | 4.28 2.28–6.28 1.75–6.81 | 9.70 5.49–13.92 4.38–15.03 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 48.31 41.52–55.10 39.85–56.77 | 52.09 45.30–58.87 43.63–60.54 | — | 39% 57% |
| Passes | 438 371–505 353–524 | 476 409–542 392–560 | 914 780–1048 745–1083 | 38% 62% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.62 59.59–67.65 58.30–68.94 | 70.57 66.24–74.89 64.93–76.20 | — | 17% 80% |
| Fouls | 12.33 9.50–15.17 8.74–15.93 | 11.18 8.24–14.13 7.49–14.88 | 23.52 17.74–29.30 16.23–30.80 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 2.56 1.47–3.66 1.18–3.94 | 4.24 1.99–6.50 1.40–7.08 | 25% 18% 57% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.54–3.17 | 1.77 0.64–2.89 0.35–3.19 | 3.62 1.44–5.80 0.89–6.36 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.37 0.93–3.80 0.54–4.19 | 3.41 1.86–4.97 1.43–5.39 | 5.78 2.79–8.77 1.98–9.59 | 26% 16% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+