Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 30·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
25%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.592.84safe0.28–2.220.73–2.441.02–4.66safer0.03–2.470.51–2.670.54–5.14
Shots on target
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.145.509.64safe2.28–6.013.75–7.246.04–13.25safer1.79–6.503.29–7.715.08–14.20
Total shots
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4414.6027.04safe8.52–16.3711.03–18.1619.55–34.53safer7.43–17.4610.08–19.1217.50–36.58
Shots in box
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction8.5710.2618.83safe5.63–11.517.58–12.9413.21–24.45safer4.80–12.346.84–13.6811.64–26.02
Blocked shots
31%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.504.427.92safe1.62–5.392.76–6.074.38–11.45safer1.08–5.932.27–6.563.35–12.49
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.715.5510.26safe2.49–6.923.55–7.556.04–14.47safer1.92–7.493.01–8.084.94–15.58
Possession %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction46.1054.33safe39.31–52.8947.55–61.12safer37.64–54.5645.88–62.79
Passes
26%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction428503931safe360–495437–569797–1064safer342–513419–587761–1100
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction67.2376.14safe63.20–71.2671.81–80.46safer61.91–72.5570.50–81.77
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0911.6321.71safe7.25–12.928.68–14.5715.93–27.50safer6.49–13.687.93–15.3214.43–29.00
Offsides
41%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.703.51safe0.66–2.980.60–2.791.26–5.77safer0.36–3.280.31–3.080.67–6.36
Yellow cards
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.723.25safe0.49–2.590.59–2.851.08–5.43safer0.22–2.850.30–3.140.52–5.99
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.462.866.32safe2.03–4.901.30–4.423.33–9.31safer1.64–5.290.88–4.842.52–10.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.59 0.73–2.44 0.51–2.67 | 2.84 1.02–4.66 0.54–5.14 | 30% 25% 45% |
| Shots on target | 4.14 2.28–6.01 1.79–6.50 | 5.50 3.75–7.24 3.29–7.71 | 9.64 6.04–13.25 5.08–14.20 | 27% 61% |
| Total shots | 12.44 8.52–16.37 7.43–17.46 | 14.60 11.03–18.16 10.08–19.12 | 27.04 19.55–34.53 17.50–36.58 | 30% 62% |
| Shots in box | 8.57 5.63–11.51 4.80–12.34 | 10.26 7.58–12.94 6.84–13.68 | 18.83 13.21–24.45 11.64–26.02 | 31% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 3.50 1.62–5.39 1.08–5.93 | 4.42 2.76–6.07 2.27–6.56 | 7.92 4.38–11.45 3.35–12.49 | 31% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.71 2.49–6.92 1.92–7.49 | 5.55 3.55–7.55 3.01–8.08 | 10.26 6.04–14.47 4.94–15.58 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 46.10 39.31–52.89 37.64–54.56 | 54.33 47.55–61.12 45.88–62.79 | — | 29% 67% |
| Passes | 428 360–495 342–513 | 503 437–569 419–587 | 931 797–1064 761–1100 | 26% 73% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.23 63.20–71.26 61.91–72.55 | 76.14 71.81–80.46 70.50–81.77 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 10.09 7.25–12.92 6.49–13.68 | 11.63 8.68–14.57 7.93–15.32 | 21.71 15.93–27.50 14.43–29.00 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.28 | 1.70 0.60–2.79 0.31–3.08 | 3.51 1.26–5.77 0.67–6.36 | 41% 22% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.22–2.85 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.25 1.08–5.43 0.52–5.99 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.46 2.03–4.90 1.64–5.29 | 2.86 1.30–4.42 0.88–4.84 | 6.32 3.33–9.31 2.52–10.13 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+