Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 30·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
25%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.131.592.73safe0.16–2.100.74–2.450.90–4.55safer0.00–2.350.51–2.680.42–5.03
Shots on target
36%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.884.388.27safe2.02–5.752.64–6.124.66–11.87safer1.53–6.242.17–6.593.71–12.83
Total shots
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2812.5025.78safe9.35–17.208.94–16.0618.29–33.26safer8.26–18.297.98–17.0216.24–35.31
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction8.508.6817.19safe5.56–11.456.00–11.3611.56–22.81safer4.73–12.285.26–12.1010.00–24.38
Blocked shots
46%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.773.517.28safe1.89–5.651.85–5.163.74–10.81safer1.35–6.201.36–5.652.71–11.85
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.585.4710.06safe2.37–6.803.47–7.475.85–14.27safer1.80–7.372.94–8.014.74–15.38
Possession %
21%
76%
homeawayprediction43.4056.23safe36.61–50.1949.45–63.02safer34.94–51.8647.78–64.69
Passes
19%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction387491878safe320–454424–557744–1011safer302–472407–575708–1047
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction61.9270.93safe57.89–65.9566.60–75.25safer56.60–67.2465.29–76.56
Fouls
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0410.0122.05safe9.20–14.887.06–12.9516.26–27.83safer8.45–15.636.31–13.7014.76–29.33
Offsides
34%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.153.98safe0.68–3.001.05–3.241.73–6.24safer0.38–3.300.76–3.531.14–6.83
Yellow cards
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.623.33safe0.66–2.760.49–2.741.15–5.51safer0.40–3.030.20–3.040.59–6.07
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
44%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.922.785.70safe1.48–4.361.22–4.332.71–8.69safer1.10–4.740.80–4.761.89–9.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.13 0.16–2.10 0.00–2.35 | 1.59 0.74–2.45 0.51–2.68 | 2.73 0.90–4.55 0.42–5.03 | 27% 25% 48% |
| Shots on target | 3.88 2.02–5.75 1.53–6.24 | 4.38 2.64–6.12 2.17–6.59 | 8.27 4.66–11.87 3.71–12.83 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Total shots | 13.28 9.35–17.20 8.26–18.29 | 12.50 8.94–16.06 7.98–17.02 | 25.78 18.29–33.26 16.24–35.31 | 52% 40% |
| Shots in box | 8.50 5.56–11.45 4.73–12.28 | 8.68 6.00–11.36 5.26–12.10 | 17.19 11.56–22.81 10.00–24.38 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.77 1.89–5.65 1.35–6.20 | 3.51 1.85–5.16 1.36–5.65 | 7.28 3.74–10.81 2.71–11.85 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 4.58 2.37–6.80 1.80–7.37 | 5.47 3.47–7.47 2.94–8.01 | 10.06 5.85–14.27 4.74–15.38 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 43.40 36.61–50.19 34.94–51.86 | 56.23 49.45–63.02 47.78–64.69 | — | 21% 76% |
| Passes | 387 320–454 302–472 | 491 424–557 407–575 | 878 744–1011 708–1047 | 19% 81% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.92 57.89–65.95 56.60–67.24 | 70.93 66.60–75.25 65.29–76.56 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 12.04 9.20–14.88 8.45–15.63 | 10.01 7.06–12.95 6.31–13.70 | 22.05 16.26–27.83 14.76–29.33 | 63% 29% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 2.15 1.05–3.24 0.76–3.53 | 3.98 1.73–6.24 1.14–6.83 | 34% 21% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.40–3.03 | 1.62 0.49–2.74 0.20–3.04 | 3.33 1.15–5.51 0.59–6.07 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.92 1.48–4.36 1.10–4.74 | 2.78 1.22–4.33 0.80–4.76 | 5.70 2.71–8.69 1.89–9.50 | 44% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+