Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 30·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
25%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.002.58safe0.62–2.560.14–1.850.76–4.41safer0.37–2.810.00–2.080.28–4.89
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.123.468.58safe3.26–6.981.71–5.204.97–12.18safer2.77–7.471.25–5.674.01–13.14
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1310.3525.48safe11.21–19.066.79–13.9117.99–32.97safer10.12–20.155.83–14.8715.94–35.02
Shots in box
63%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction9.507.6117.10safe6.55–12.444.92–10.2911.48–22.72safer5.72–13.274.19–11.029.91–24.29
Blocked shots
67%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.262.616.87safe2.38–6.150.96–4.263.34–10.41safer1.84–6.690.46–4.752.30–11.44
Corners
67%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.204.2810.48safe3.99–8.422.28–6.286.27–14.70safer3.41–8.991.75–6.825.16–15.80
Possession %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction56.4542.60safe49.66–63.2435.81–49.38safer47.99–64.9134.14–51.05
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction502384885safe435–569317–450752–1019safer416–587300–468716–1055
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction69.5367.57safe65.50–73.5663.24–71.89safer64.20–74.8561.94–73.20
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2313.3825.62safe9.40–15.0710.44–16.3319.84–31.40safer8.64–15.839.69–17.0818.33–32.90
Offsides
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.602.033.62safe0.44–2.760.94–3.121.37–5.88safer0.13–3.060.65–3.410.78–6.47
Yellow cards
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.522.263.78safe0.47–2.571.13–3.391.60–5.96safer0.20–2.830.84–3.681.04–6.52
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.393.465.85safe0.96–3.831.90–5.022.86–8.85safer0.57–4.221.48–5.442.05–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.56 0.37–2.81 | 1.00 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.08 | 2.58 0.76–4.41 0.28–4.89 | 51% 25% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.12 3.26–6.98 2.77–7.47 | 3.46 1.71–5.20 1.25–5.67 | 8.58 4.97–12.18 4.01–13.14 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 15.13 11.21–19.06 10.12–20.15 | 10.35 6.79–13.91 5.83–14.87 | 25.48 17.99–32.97 15.94–35.02 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 9.50 6.55–12.44 5.72–13.27 | 7.61 4.92–10.29 4.19–11.02 | 17.10 11.48–22.72 9.91–24.29 | 63% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 4.26 2.38–6.15 1.84–6.69 | 2.61 0.96–4.26 0.46–4.75 | 6.87 3.34–10.41 2.30–11.44 | 67% 20% |
| Corners | 6.20 3.99–8.42 3.41–8.99 | 4.28 2.28–6.28 1.75–6.82 | 10.48 6.27–14.70 5.16–15.80 | 67% 23% |
| Possession % | 56.45 49.66–63.24 47.99–64.91 | 42.60 35.81–49.38 34.14–51.05 | — | 78% 19% |
| Passes | 502 435–569 416–587 | 384 317–450 300–468 | 885 752–1019 716–1055 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.53 65.50–73.56 64.20–74.85 | 67.57 63.24–71.89 61.94–73.20 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 12.23 9.40–15.07 8.64–15.83 | 13.38 10.44–16.33 9.69–17.08 | 25.62 19.84–31.40 18.33–32.90 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.13–3.06 | 2.03 0.94–3.12 0.65–3.41 | 3.62 1.37–5.88 0.78–6.47 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.20–2.83 | 2.26 1.13–3.39 0.84–3.68 | 3.78 1.60–5.96 1.04–6.52 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.39 0.96–3.83 0.57–4.22 | 3.46 1.90–5.02 1.48–5.44 | 5.85 2.86–8.85 2.05–9.66 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+