Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 31·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
26%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.062.53safe0.50–2.440.21–1.910.71–4.35safer0.25–2.690.00–2.140.23–4.83
Shots on target
57%
13%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.633.638.27safe2.77–6.491.89–5.384.66–11.87safer2.28–6.981.43–5.843.71–12.83
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8911.8825.76safe9.96–17.818.31–15.4418.28–33.25safer8.87–18.907.36–16.4016.23–35.30
Shots in box
58%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction9.027.6716.69safe6.08–11.964.99–10.3511.07–22.31safer5.25–12.794.25–11.089.50–23.88
Blocked shots
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.462.936.40safe1.58–5.351.28–4.592.86–9.93safer1.04–5.890.79–5.081.83–10.97
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.864.2910.14safe3.64–8.072.29–6.295.93–14.36safer3.07–8.641.75–6.824.82–15.47
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.8342.70safe51.04–64.6235.91–49.48safer49.37–66.2934.24–51.15
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction524399924safe457–592333–466790–1057safer439–610315–483754–1093
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction68.1466.86safe64.11–72.1762.54–71.19safer62.82–73.4661.23–72.50
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2912.6022.89safe7.45–13.139.66–15.5517.11–28.68safer6.70–13.888.91–16.3015.61–30.18
Offsides
46%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.281.994.27safe1.12–3.440.90–3.082.02–6.52safer0.82–3.740.61–3.371.43–7.11
Yellow cards
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.943.41safe0.42–2.510.81–3.071.23–5.59safer0.15–2.780.52–3.360.67–6.14
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
34%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.613.075.68safe1.18–4.051.51–4.622.69–8.67safer0.79–4.441.09–5.051.88–9.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 0.50–2.44 0.25–2.69 | 1.06 0.21–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 2.53 0.71–4.35 0.23–4.83 | 47% 26% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.63 2.77–6.49 2.28–6.98 | 3.63 1.89–5.38 1.43–5.84 | 8.27 4.66–11.87 3.71–12.83 | 57% 13% 30% |
| Total shots | 13.89 9.96–17.81 8.87–18.90 | 11.88 8.31–15.44 7.36–16.40 | 25.76 18.28–33.25 16.23–35.30 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 9.02 6.08–11.96 5.25–12.79 | 7.67 4.99–10.35 4.25–11.08 | 16.69 11.07–22.31 9.50–23.88 | 58% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.46 1.58–5.35 1.04–5.89 | 2.93 1.28–4.59 0.79–5.08 | 6.40 2.86–9.93 1.83–10.97 | 50% 16% 34% |
| Corners | 5.86 3.64–8.07 3.07–8.64 | 4.29 2.29–6.29 1.75–6.82 | 10.14 5.93–14.36 4.82–15.47 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 57.83 51.04–64.62 49.37–66.29 | 42.70 35.91–49.48 34.24–51.15 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 524 457–592 439–610 | 399 333–466 315–483 | 924 790–1057 754–1093 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.14 64.11–72.17 62.82–73.46 | 66.86 62.54–71.19 61.23–72.50 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 10.29 7.45–13.13 6.70–13.88 | 12.60 9.66–15.55 8.91–16.30 | 22.89 17.11–28.68 15.61–30.18 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 2.28 1.12–3.44 0.82–3.74 | 1.99 0.90–3.08 0.61–3.37 | 4.27 2.02–6.52 1.43–7.11 | 46% 20% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.51 0.15–2.78 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.41 1.23–5.59 0.67–6.14 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.18–4.05 0.79–4.44 | 3.07 1.51–4.62 1.09–5.05 | 5.68 2.69–8.67 1.88–9.49 | 34% 17% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+