Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 31·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
20%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.002.103.10safe0.03–1.971.24–2.951.27–4.92safer0.00–2.221.01–3.180.79–5.40
Shots on target
20%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.886.049.91safe2.01–5.744.29–7.786.31–13.52safer1.52–6.233.83–8.255.35–14.47
Total shots
17%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4715.9027.37safe7.54–15.3912.34–19.4719.88–34.86safer6.45–16.4811.38–20.4317.83–36.91
Shots in box
21%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction7.8810.8518.73safe4.94–10.828.17–13.5313.11–24.35safer4.11–11.657.43–14.2711.54–25.92
Blocked shots
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.274.868.13safe1.39–5.153.20–6.514.59–11.66safer0.85–5.702.71–7.003.56–12.70
Corners
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.346.2310.58safe2.13–6.564.23–8.236.36–14.79safer1.56–7.133.70–8.775.25–15.90
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction34.9465.55safe28.15–41.7358.77–72.34safer26.48–43.4057.09–74.01
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction313610923safe246–380544–676789–1057safer228–398526–694754–1092
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction59.5878.72safe55.55–63.6174.40–83.05safer54.26–64.9073.09–84.36
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9410.5922.53safe9.11–14.787.65–13.5416.75–28.32safer8.35–15.546.90–14.2815.25–29.82
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.473.29safe0.67–2.990.37–2.561.04–5.55safer0.37–3.290.08–2.850.45–6.14
Yellow cards
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.353.01safe0.62–2.710.22–2.470.83–5.19safer0.35–2.980.00–2.770.27–5.75
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
55%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.552.726.26safe2.11–4.981.16–4.273.27–9.26safer1.72–5.370.74–4.702.46–10.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.00 0.03–1.97 0.00–2.22 | 2.10 1.24–2.95 1.01–3.18 | 3.10 1.27–4.92 0.79–5.40 | 17% 20% 63% |
| Shots on target | 3.88 2.01–5.74 1.52–6.23 | 6.04 4.29–7.78 3.83–8.25 | 9.91 6.31–13.52 5.35–14.47 | 20% 70% |
| Total shots | 11.47 7.54–15.39 6.45–16.48 | 15.90 12.34–19.47 11.38–20.43 | 27.37 19.88–34.86 17.83–36.91 | 17% 77% |
| Shots in box | 7.88 4.94–10.82 4.11–11.65 | 10.85 8.17–13.53 7.43–14.27 | 18.73 13.11–24.35 11.54–25.92 | 21% 72% |
| Blocked shots | 3.27 1.39–5.15 0.85–5.70 | 4.86 3.20–6.51 2.71–7.00 | 8.13 4.59–11.66 3.56–12.70 | 23% 65% |
| Corners | 4.34 2.13–6.56 1.56–7.13 | 6.23 4.23–8.23 3.70–8.77 | 10.58 6.36–14.79 5.25–15.90 | 23% 66% |
| Possession % | 34.94 28.15–41.73 26.48–43.40 | 65.55 58.77–72.34 57.09–74.01 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 313 246–380 228–398 | 610 544–676 526–694 | 923 789–1057 754–1092 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.58 55.55–63.61 54.26–64.90 | 78.72 74.40–83.05 73.09–84.36 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 11.94 9.11–14.78 8.35–15.54 | 10.59 7.65–13.54 6.90–14.28 | 22.53 16.75–28.32 15.25–29.82 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 1.47 0.37–2.56 0.08–2.85 | 3.29 1.04–5.55 0.45–6.14 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.62–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 1.35 0.22–2.47 0.00–2.77 | 3.01 0.83–5.19 0.27–5.75 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.55 2.11–4.98 1.72–5.37 | 2.72 1.16–4.27 0.74–4.70 | 6.26 3.27–9.26 2.46–10.07 | 55% 15% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+