Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 31·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.202.84safe0.68–2.610.34–2.051.02–4.66safer0.42–2.860.12–2.280.54–5.14
Shots on target
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.994.329.30safe3.13–6.852.57–6.065.70–12.91safer2.64–7.342.11–6.524.74–13.86
Total shots
65%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2412.7628.00safe11.32–19.179.19–16.3220.51–35.49safer10.22–20.268.24–17.2818.46–37.54
Shots in box
68%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction10.357.9018.24safe7.40–13.295.21–10.5812.62–23.86safer6.57–14.124.48–11.3111.05–25.43
Blocked shots
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.333.828.15safe2.45–6.222.17–5.474.62–11.69safer1.91–6.761.68–5.973.58–12.73
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction6.214.5010.72safe4.00–8.432.50–6.506.50–14.93safer3.43–9.001.97–7.045.39–16.04
Possession %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction51.3048.64safe44.51–58.0941.86–55.43safer42.84–59.7640.19–57.10
Passes
59%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction435407842safe368–503340–473708–976safer350–521323–491673–1011
Pass accuracy %
22%
73%
homeawayprediction64.4069.76safe60.38–68.4365.44–74.09safer59.08–69.7364.13–75.40
Fouls
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1014.3425.44safe8.26–13.9411.39–17.2819.66–31.22safer7.51–14.6910.64–18.0318.15–32.72
Offsides
52%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.293.19safe0.74–3.060.20–2.380.93–5.44safer0.44–3.360.00–2.670.35–6.03
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.592.073.66safe0.54–2.640.94–3.201.48–5.84safer0.27–2.900.65–3.490.92–6.40
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
36%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.803.175.97safe1.37–4.241.62–4.732.98–8.97safer0.98–4.631.19–5.152.17–9.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 0.68–2.61 0.42–2.86 | 1.20 0.34–2.05 0.12–2.28 | 2.84 1.02–4.66 0.54–5.14 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.99 3.13–6.85 2.64–7.34 | 4.32 2.57–6.06 2.11–6.52 | 9.30 5.70–12.91 4.74–13.86 | 52% 35% |
| Total shots | 15.24 11.32–19.17 10.22–20.26 | 12.76 9.19–16.32 8.24–17.28 | 28.00 20.51–35.49 18.46–37.54 | 65% 29% |
| Shots in box | 10.35 7.40–13.29 6.57–14.12 | 7.90 5.21–10.58 4.48–11.31 | 18.24 12.62–23.86 11.05–25.43 | 68% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 4.33 2.45–6.22 1.91–6.76 | 3.82 2.17–5.47 1.68–5.97 | 8.15 4.62–11.69 3.58–12.73 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Corners | 6.21 4.00–8.43 3.43–9.00 | 4.50 2.50–6.50 1.97–7.04 | 10.72 6.50–14.93 5.39–16.04 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 51.30 44.51–58.09 42.84–59.76 | 48.64 41.86–55.43 40.19–57.10 | — | 54% 41% |
| Passes | 435 368–503 350–521 | 407 340–473 323–491 | 842 708–976 673–1011 | 59% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.40 60.38–68.43 59.08–69.73 | 69.76 65.44–74.09 64.13–75.40 | — | 22% 73% |
| Fouls | 11.10 8.26–13.94 7.51–14.69 | 14.34 11.39–17.28 10.64–18.03 | 25.44 19.66–31.22 18.15–32.72 | 23% 71% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 1.29 0.20–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 3.19 0.93–5.44 0.35–6.03 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.27–2.90 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 3.66 1.48–5.84 0.92–6.40 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.80 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 3.17 1.62–4.73 1.19–5.15 | 5.97 2.98–8.97 2.17–9.78 | 36% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.